Burnley at Watford

Updated

Burnley

42.0%29.3%28.7%
Burnley WinDrawWatford Win
1.20Projected Goals 0.94
2Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Norwich City-185
T 0-0 at Derby County-115
W 2-1 at Coventry City+150
W 0-1 vs Bristol City-135
W 2-0 at Swansea City+110
Watford
Money Line
L 1-2 at West Bromwich Albion+400
W 0-1 vs Hull City+145
L 1-2 at Bristol City+320
W 0-1 vs Swansea City+125
L 2-1 vs Millwall+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley-120--130-120--120-120-
Watford+350-+380+320-+320+380-
Draw+230-+230+240-+240+240-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley-125----145-140-140-
Watford+400---+365+430+430-
Draw+240---+215+260+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from -139 to -145
Watford ML moved from +335 to +325

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from -125 to -140
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2¼+100o2¼+104-o2¼+104o2¼+104-
Underu2¼-122-u2¼-120u2¼-124-u2¼-124u2¼-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.6%
 
No57.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.74%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 410.30%
Exactly 61.58%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.14%
Exactly 319.24%
Exactly 54.42%
Exactly 70.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 030.04%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 221.72%
Exactly 38.71%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 039.07%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.25%
Exactly 35.41%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.08%
Exactly 218.25%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.03%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 057.30%
Exactly 131.91%
Exactly 28.88%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 064.72%
Exactly 128.16%
Exactly 26.13%
Exactly 30.89%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals18.27%
Wins by 3+ goals6.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.62%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals10.11%
Wins by 3+ goals2.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal23.74%
Wins by 2 goals12.17%
Wins by 3 goals4.48%
Wins by 4 goals1.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal18.55%
Wins by 2 goals7.43%
Wins by 3 goals2.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.26%11.74%
1.563.12%36.88%
2.536.18%63.82%
3.516.95%83.05%
4.56.64%93.36%
5.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.96%30.04%
1.533.83%66.17%
2.512.11%87.89%
3.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.93%39.07%
1.524.21%75.79%
2.56.96%93.04%
3.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.92%37.08%
1.526.13%73.87%
2.57.88%92.12%
3.51.85%98.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Watford
Score01234
0
11.74%
11.03%
5.18%
1.62%
0.38%
1
14.11%
13.27%
6.23%
1.95%
0.46%
2
8.49%
7.98%
3.75%
1.17%
0.28%
3
3.40%
3.20%
1.50%
0.47%
0.11%
4
1.02%
0.96%
0.45%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.25%
0.23%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Burnley
1-014.11%
2-08.49%
2-17.98%
3-03.40%
3-13.20%
3-21.50%
4-01.02%
4-10.96%
4-20.45%
4-30.14%
5-00.25%
5-10.23%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-011.74%
1-113.27%
2-23.75%
3-30.47%
Watford
0-111.03%
0-25.18%
1-26.23%
0-31.62%
1-31.95%
2-31.17%
0-40.38%
1-40.46%
2-40.28%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Watford
Score0123
0
37.08%
16.14%
3.51%
0.51%
1
20.65%
8.99%
1.95%
0.28%
2
5.75%
2.50%
0.54%
0.08%
3
1.07%
0.46%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-020.65%
2-05.75%
2-12.50%
3-01.07%
3-10.46%
3-20.10%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-037.08%
1-18.99%
2-20.54%
Watford
0-116.14%
0-23.51%
1-21.95%
0-30.51%
1-30.28%