English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brighton and Hove Albion
West Bromwich Albion		46.3%
28.4%		25.3%
-120
+370
-121
+375
0
1		-1.27075-1.28111-0.96848
West Ham United
Manchester City		15.6%
72.1%		12.3%
+1082
-375
+1100
-390
1
2		-0.10180-0.09957-0.19654
Southampton
Leeds United		38.4%
34.6%		27.0%
+235
+116
+233
+115
0
3		-0.49761-0.49812-0.74703
Crystal Palace
Brighton and Hove Albion		32.3%
38.3%		29.4%
+450
-127
+436
-130
2
1		-1.40535-1.39364-0.48224
Newcastle United
Manchester United		17.3%
68.6%		14.1%
+850
-290
+875
-300
1
3		-0.13239-0.12817-0.37752
Manchester City
Arsenal		55.1%
23.9%		21.0%
-205
+625
-215
+580
1
0		-0.18665-0.19513-0.27294
Leicester City
Aston Villa		44.1%
30.8%		25.1%
+100
+270
+120
+260
2
1		-0.43214-0.47692-0.36863
Tottenham
West Ham United		43.2%
31.6%		25.2%
+140
+210
+150
+197
1
2		-0.82929-0.78298-1.15293
Everton
Liverpool		22.3%
58.6%		19.0%
+750
-250
+700
-275
2
0		-1.95602-1.92669-0.88278
West Bromwich Albion
Burnley		25.5%
50.9%		23.6%
+275
+118
+280
+115
0
0		-0.72948-0.73316-0.69330
Chelsea
Southampton		47.6%
29.2%		23.2%
-130
+400
-135
+375
1
1		-0.82240-0.81414-0.78861
Leeds United
Wolverhampton		28.7%
45.7%		25.6%
+236
+132
+220
+132
0
1		-0.52501-0.54523-0.78342
Manchester City
Everton		60.9%
21.2%		17.8%
-330
+1011
-370
+1000
3
1		-0.11090-0.10929-0.23850
Fulham
Burnley		29.4%
43.4%		27.2%
+163
+208
+160
+195
1
1		-0.69626-0.69514-0.70182
Newcastle United
Chelsea		20.1%
64.2%		15.7%
+1000
-335
+1000
-351
0
2		-0.11158-0.11047-0.44382
Sheffield United
West Ham United		28.9%
44.8%		26.3%
+315
+105
+340
+105
0
3		-0.40143-0.38248-0.80321
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.