English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Feb 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion		31.2%
41.1%		27.7%
+450
-132
+480
-138
0
3		-0.59589-0.58227-0.88877
Leeds United
Fulham		39.5%
32.4%		28.0%
+185
+165
+180
+155
2
1		-0.45661-0.46933-0.39193
Liverpool
Wolverhampton		53.6%
24.3%		22.1%
-155
+500
-150
+444
1
0		-0.17755-0.19445-0.37389
West Ham United
Manchester United		22.3%
59.2%		18.5%
+385
-125
+389
-125
0
1		-0.62288-0.62493-0.31978
Tottenham
Arsenal		35.1%
37.9%		27.0%
+179
+165
+180
+165
1
2		-1.00403-1.01319-0.65539
Sheffield United
Leicester City		20.6%
59.4%		20.0%
+675
-190
+626
-190
0
5		-0.44771-0.45616-0.29824
Brighton and Hove Albion
Southampton		29.7%
44.8%		25.5%
+141
+230
+155
+219
2
1		-0.34824-0.36367-0.91902
Manchester City
Fulham		77.3%
12.2%		10.4%
-240
+750
-243
+725
3
0		-0.12051-0.12332-0.14672
Burnley
Everton		25.4%
51.2%		23.4%
+320
+100
+319
+105
2
1		-0.65844-0.64611-1.10253
West Bromwich Albion
Crystal Palace		24.4%
52.8%		22.8%
+245
+135
+240
+135
0
1		-0.88673-0.89578-0.37955
Chelsea
Leeds United		53.4%
25.3%		21.2%
-143
+425
-135
+390
0
0		-0.94573-0.92043-0.76116
Aston Villa
Newcastle United		40.6%
32.9%		26.5%
+113
+270
+115
+260
1
1		-0.82370-0.81588-0.69865
Southampton
Manchester City		15.6%
72.7%		11.8%
+1675
-550
+1650
-585
2
5		-0.06446-0.06476-0.19388
Leeds United
West Ham United		29.7%
45.2%		25.2%
+230
+125
+230
+125
0
2		-0.51988-0.51988-0.50504
Everton
Chelsea		27.4%
50.2%		22.4%
+525
-151
+500
-168
0
2		-0.23584-0.23576-0.43607
Crystal Palace
Tottenham		22.9%
56.7%		20.4%
+575
-183
+550
-190
1
4		-0.20629-0.21093-0.33913
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.22878 
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.22684 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.00672
0.22206
0.22011

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.