English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedLiverpool
Manchester United 		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+145
+190
+150
+185
1.20
1.18		2.38
o2½-130
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 1, 2021
Games for Feb 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chelsea
Southampton		47.6%
29.2%		23.2%
-130
+400
-135
+375
1
1		-0.82240-0.81414-0.78861
Leeds United
Wolverhampton		28.7%
45.7%		25.6%
+236
+132
+220
+132
0
1		-0.52501-0.54523-0.78342
Manchester City
Everton		60.9%
21.2%		17.8%
-330
+1011
-370
+1000
3
1		-0.11090-0.10929-0.23850
Fulham
Burnley		29.4%
43.4%		27.2%
+163
+208
+160
+195
1
1		-0.69626-0.69514-0.70182
Newcastle United
Chelsea		20.1%
64.2%		15.7%
+1000
-335
+1000
-351
0
2		-0.11158-0.11047-0.44382
Sheffield United
West Ham United		28.9%
44.8%		26.3%
+315
+105
+340
+105
0
3		-0.40143-0.38248-0.80321
Fulham
Everton		19.4%
64.0%		16.6%
+300
+105
+290
+100
2
0		-1.08220-1.08181-1.02232
Leeds United
Arsenal		25.3%
52.5%		22.3%
+330
-117
+325
-125
2
4		-0.35861-0.35314-0.64504
Manchester United
West Bromwich Albion		70.6%
16.3%		13.1%
-335
+1000
-325
+850
1
1		-1.17994-1.12050-0.99557
Wolverhampton
Southampton		33.6%
39.5%		26.9%
+265
+125
+249
+145
2
1		-0.96401-0.88562-0.50306
Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion		39.0%
34.1%		26.9%
+151
+193
+155
+181
0
0		-0.69614-0.69432-0.74677
Tottenham
Manchester City		24.2%
56.0%		19.8%
+750
-290
+760
-310
0
3		-0.14689-0.14305-0.58010
Burnley
Crystal Palace		34.0%
36.0%		30.0%
+202
+190
+195
+189
3
0		-0.71362-0.70348-0.44612
Liverpool
Leicester City		48.3%
27.8%		23.8%
+100
+265
+110
+264
1
3		-1.03851-1.00550-1.27898
Crystal Palace
Leeds United		32.6%
39.0%		28.4%
+370
-120
+360
-120
0
2		-0.32937-0.33543-0.94063
Chelsea
Sheffield United		58.2%
22.1%		19.7%
-200
+650
-202
+585
2
1		-0.18231-0.19743-0.24990
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.17141 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.15992 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.84555
0.32586
0.31437

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.