Ajax at Roma

Updated

Ajax

31.2%24.0%44.8%
Ajax WinDrawRoma Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.69
1Final Score 1

Roma

Last Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Roma-105
W 2-0 at Young Boys-120
W 0-3 vs Young Boys-165
Roma
Money Line
W 2-1 at Ajax+265
W 1-3 vs Braga-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-9.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+166+130+120+114+111+114+130-
Roma+146+180+200+215+215+215+215-
Draw+247+287+275+295+273+295+295-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+135-+118+210+120+115+210-
Roma+175-+196-250+150+205+205-
Draw+280-+283+0+260+285+285-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Roma: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Roma: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +120 to +114
Roma ML moved from +199 to +191

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Roma: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 90.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +125 to +118
No Steam Moves On Roma ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3-122o3½+110o3¼-108-o3¼-108o3-121-
Underu3+105u3+100u3½-130u3¼-112-u3¼-112u3½-130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120-o3-135-o3-130o3-130o3-130-
Underu3+100-u3+115-u3+100u3+110u3+115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+115
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.4%
 
No43.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.70%
Exactly 223.39%
Exactly 416.00%
Exactly 64.38%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.33%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.16%
Exactly 71.79%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 030.88%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 38.35%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 018.46%
Exactly 131.19%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 314.84%
Exactly 46.27%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.54%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 310.32%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 058.04%
Exactly 131.58%
Exactly 28.59%
Exactly 31.56%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 045.74%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 213.99%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals10.58%
Wins by 3+ goals3.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals26.43%
Wins by 3+ goals11.38%
Wins by 4+ goals4.02%
Wins by 5+ goals1.18%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Roma
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.95%
Wins by 2 goals7.28%
Wins by 3 goals2.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal22.93%
Wins by 2 goals15.05%
Wins by 3 goals7.36%
Wins by 4 goals2.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.90%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.30%5.70%
1.577.97%22.03%
2.554.58%45.42%
3.532.25%67.75%
4.516.25%83.75%
5.57.09%92.91%
6.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.12%30.88%
1.532.84%67.16%
2.511.52%88.48%
3.53.17%96.83%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.54%18.46%
1.550.35%49.65%
2.524.00%76.00%
3.59.16%90.84%
4.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.46%26.54%
1.538.25%61.75%
2.514.90%85.10%
3.54.58%95.42%
4.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Roma
Score012345
0
5.70%
9.63%
8.14%
4.58%
1.94%
0.65%
1
6.70%
11.32%
9.56%
5.38%
2.27%
0.77%
2
3.94%
6.65%
5.62%
3.16%
1.34%
0.45%
3
1.54%
2.61%
2.20%
1.24%
0.52%
0.18%
4
0.45%
0.77%
0.65%
0.36%
0.15%
0.05%
5
0.11%
0.18%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Ajax
1-06.70%
2-03.94%
2-16.65%
3-01.54%
3-12.61%
3-22.20%
4-00.45%
4-10.77%
4-20.65%
4-30.36%
5-00.11%
5-10.18%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-05.70%
1-111.32%
2-25.62%
3-31.24%
4-40.15%
Roma
0-19.63%
0-28.14%
1-29.56%
0-34.58%
1-35.38%
2-33.16%
0-41.94%
1-42.27%
2-41.34%
3-40.52%
0-50.65%
1-50.77%
2-50.45%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Roma
Score01234
0
26.54%
20.76%
8.12%
2.12%
0.41%
1
14.44%
11.30%
4.42%
1.15%
0.23%
2
3.93%
3.07%
1.20%
0.31%
0.06%
3
0.71%
0.56%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
Ajax
1-014.44%
2-03.93%
2-13.07%
3-00.71%
3-10.56%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-026.54%
1-111.30%
2-21.20%
Roma
0-120.76%
0-28.12%
1-24.42%
0-32.12%
1-31.15%
2-30.31%
0-40.41%
1-40.23%