Roma at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Roma

58.3%21.5%20.2%
Roma WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
1.99Projected Goals 1.08
0Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Roma
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Braga-165
T 2-2 at Tottenham+500
W 0-1 vs Dynamo Kyiv-275
L 0-1 at Elfsborg-120
T 1-1 vs Athletic Club+120
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Galatasaray+220
W 1-3 vs Fenerbahce+270
L 0-1 at Tottenham+600
L 0-2 at Athletic Club+560
W 2-3 vs Elfsborg-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+125-+110+105-+105+110-
AZ Alkmaar+200-+235+280-+280+280-
Draw+240-+255+252-+252+255-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+130---+105+105+105-
AZ Alkmaar+205---+205+260+260-
Draw+250---+220+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +113 to +105
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +220 to +200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +120 to +105
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2½-115o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-115-
Underu2¾-112-u2½-105u2½+100-u2½+100u2½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125---o2½-130o2½-130o2½-130-
Underu2½+105---u2½+100u2½+110u2½+110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.1%
 
No42.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.63%
Exactly 221.86%
Exactly 417.19%
Exactly 65.41%
Exactly 80.91%
 
Exactly 114.23%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.56%
Exactly 72.37%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 013.71%
Exactly 127.24%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.93%
Exactly 48.91%
Exactly 53.54%
Exactly 61.17%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 033.80%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.88%
Exactly 37.19%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.12%
Exactly 224.39%
Exactly 44.11%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.30%
Exactly 311.56%
Exactly 51.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 039.85%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.87%
Exactly 35.17%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 060.52%
Exactly 130.39%
Exactly 27.63%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Roma
Wins by 2+ goals34.79%
Wins by 3+ goals17.01%
Wins by 4+ goals6.89%
Wins by 5+ goals2.32%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals7.36%
Wins by 3+ goals2.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Roma
AZ Alkmaar
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Roma
Wins by 1 goal23.41%
Wins by 2 goals17.77%
Wins by 3 goals10.12%
Wins by 4 goals4.57%
Wins by 5 goals1.69%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal12.77%
Wins by 2 goals5.29%
Wins by 3 goals1.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.37%4.63%
1.581.14%18.86%
2.559.27%40.73%
3.536.89%63.11%
4.519.70%80.30%
5.59.14%90.86%
6.53.73%96.27%
7.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.29%13.71%
1.559.06%40.94%
2.531.99%68.01%
3.514.06%85.94%
4.55.15%94.85%
5.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.20%33.80%
1.529.53%70.47%
2.59.65%90.35%
3.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.88%24.12%
1.541.59%58.41%
2.517.19%82.81%
3.55.63%94.37%
4.51.52%98.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Roma
AZ Alkmaar
Score01234
0
4.63%
5.02%
2.72%
0.99%
0.27%
1
9.21%
9.99%
5.42%
1.96%
0.53%
2
9.15%
9.92%
5.38%
1.95%
0.53%
3
6.06%
6.57%
3.57%
1.29%
0.35%
4
3.01%
3.27%
1.77%
0.64%
0.17%
5
1.20%
1.30%
0.70%
0.25%
0.07%
Roma
1-09.21%
2-09.15%
2-19.92%
3-06.06%
3-16.57%
3-23.57%
4-03.01%
4-13.27%
4-21.77%
4-30.64%
5-01.20%
5-11.30%
5-20.70%
5-30.25%
Draw
0-04.63%
1-19.99%
2-25.38%
3-31.29%
4-40.17%
AZ Alkmaar
0-15.02%
0-22.72%
1-25.42%
0-30.99%
1-31.96%
2-31.95%
0-40.27%
1-40.53%
2-40.53%
3-40.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Roma
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123
0
24.12%
12.11%
3.04%
0.51%
1
22.19%
11.14%
2.80%
0.47%
2
10.21%
5.13%
1.29%
0.22%
3
3.13%
1.57%
0.39%
0.07%
4
0.72%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Roma
1-022.19%
2-010.21%
2-15.13%
3-03.13%
3-11.57%
3-20.39%
4-00.72%
4-10.36%
5-00.13%
Draw
0-024.12%
1-111.14%
2-21.29%
AZ Alkmaar
0-112.11%
0-23.04%
1-22.80%
0-30.51%
1-30.47%
2-30.22%