German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
15.9%
65.0%
19.1%
+975
-409
+950
-440
1.01
2.24
3.25
o4-102
u4-115
o3½-135
u4-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
62.8%
17.4%
19.8%
+105
+279
-105
+305
1
1
-1.34385-1.34719-1.61737
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dortmund
34.7%
39.8%
25.5%
+243
+110
+235
+105
0
1
-0.75590-0.75351-0.92153
Freiburg
Augsburg
46.4%
28.7%
24.9%
+117
+251
+110
+245
4
0
-0.79423-0.78858-0.76789
Werder Bremen
Wolfsburg
16.4%
63.7%
19.9%
+252
+120
+250
+107
2
2
-1.30125-1.32644-1.61249
Hoffenheim
Borussia Monchengladbach
20.8%
58.1%
21.1%
+250
+113
+227
+110
1
3
-0.76008-0.77527-0.54359
Hertha BSC
Union Berlin
28.8%
46.8%
24.4%
+344
-113
+330
-115
1
3
-0.65468-0.66847-0.75961
Bayern Munich
Eint Frankfurt
76.6%
9.6%
13.8%
-200
+525
-220
+525
6
1
-0.42609-0.40854-0.26694
Hertha BSC
Dortmund
11.6%
72.7%
15.6%
+455
-180
+428
-185
1
2
-0.46267-0.47385-0.31829
Bayern Munich
Wolfsburg
72.3%
11.4%
16.3%
-235
+552
-230
+515
2
2
-1.83917-1.77484-1.81419
Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
16.6%
63.5%
19.9%
+213
+126
+220
+114
1
2
-0.82241-0.79323-0.45487
Hoffenheim
Borussia Monchengladbach
20.8%
58.1%
21.1%
+217
+107
+210
+103
1
5
-0.75056-0.75213-0.54359
FC Koln
VfB Stuttgart
22.9%
55.4%
21.7%
+205
+125
+185
+125
1
2
-0.82645-0.85828-0.59133
Eint Frankfurt
Mainz 05
56.0%
22.6%
21.4%
+300
-115
+305
-125
2
2
-1.42055-1.46564-1.54215
RB Leipzig
Arminia Bielefeld
71.7%
11.3%
17.0%
-275
+783
-335
+900
1
1
-1.74023-1.82784-1.76955
Augsburg
RB Leipzig
7.9%
79.1%
13.0%
+1300
-410
+1200
-430
0
4
-0.23630-0.25032-0.23508
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern Munich
5.2%
84.9%
9.9%
+900
-355
+835
-375
2
2
-1.93753-1.94031-2.31567
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.