Copa Sudamericana Predictions

Updated

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Games for Sep 18, 2024
Games for Sep 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Independiente
Lanus		23.0%
52.9%		24.1%
+480
-145

0
0		-1.34228-1.42271
Palestino
Independiente		31.0%
39.9%		29.1%
+365
-115

0
4		-0.68173-0.91962
Independiente
Palestino		32.1%
38.3%		29.6%
+225
+160

2
2		-1.07790-1.21729
Independiente
San Lorenzo		26.6%
47.2%		26.2%
+550
-145
+530
-150
0
2		-0.54036-0.56233-0.75076
Bragantino
Oriente Petrolero		69.0%
13.1%		17.9%

-315
+890
4
0		-0.32850-0.37118
Blooming
Audax Italiano		27.7%
47.9%		24.4%
+717
-242
+750
-280
0
2		-0.37088-0.35656-0.73583
San Lorenzo
Palestino		38.2%
32.3%		29.5%
+125
+265
+140
+240
0
0		-1.14907-1.13041-1.22044
Oriente Petrolero
Junior		13.6%
67.3%		19.1%
+3000
-871

0
2		-0.14274-0.39646
Lanus
Barcelona SC		30.7%
41.7%		27.6%
+283
+113

1
1		-1.25026-1.28801
Junior
Oriente Petrolero		59.2%
18.6%		22.1%
-141
+474

3
1		-0.56875-0.52425
Barcelona SC
Lanus		33.6%
38.2%		28.2%
+265
+131

1
3		-0.84086-0.96139
Junior
Libertad		31.2%
40.9%		27.9%
+300
+100
+300
+100
1
0		-1.41671-1.42945-1.16373
Libertad
Junior		34.9%
36.0%		29.2%
+220
+155
+220
+150
4
3		-1.19726-1.21335-1.05349
Libertad
Palestino		40.7%
31.2%		28.1%
-149
+405
-160
+400
2
1		-0.55134-0.54032-0.89983
Bahia
Independiente		31.1%
39.9%		29.0%
+267
+106
+270
+100
0
1		-0.77675-0.74762-0.91777
Wilstermann
Bolívar		31.2%
44.4%		24.4%
+547
-214
+580
-220
2
2		-1.16752-1.20102-0.98818
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.34228 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.42271
-0.08043

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Sudamericana is the second-tier South American club tournament behind the Copa Libertadores. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Sudamericana soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.