Atletico at Toluca

Updated

Atletico

24.1%23.9%52.0%
Atletico WinDrawToluca Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.71
1Final Score 3

Toluca

Last 5 Games

Atletico
Money Line
L 2-3 at FC Juarez+175
W 0-4 vs Necaxa-135
L 1-2 at Tijuana+265
L 2-1 vs Cruz Azul+145
L 2-3 at UNAM+275
Toluca
Money Line
L 0-1 at Leon+270
W 1-3 vs Queretaro-165
T 2-2 at UANL+460
T 1-1 vs Guadalajara+110
T 1-1 vs America+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico+280+316+350+365-+365+365-
Toluca+100-130-150-152--152-130-
Draw+235+285+320+360-+360+360-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico+310-+315-+285+350+350-
Toluca-120--140--150-145-140-
Draw+285-+328-+275+320+328-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico: 20.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico: 40.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico: 20.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico: 20.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-149o3¼-112o3¼-108-o3¼-108o2½-149-
Underu2¾-108u2½+119u3¼-108u3¼-112-u3¼-112u3-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100-o3-125-o3-125o3-125o3-125-
Underu3-120-u3+105-u3-105u3+105u3+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 70.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.3%
 
No45.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.09%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 415.56%
Exactly 64.06%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.05%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.71%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico
Exactly 033.76%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.90%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 018.05%
Exactly 130.90%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 315.09%
Exactly 46.46%
Exactly 52.21%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.38%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 39.92%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico
Exactly 060.49%
Exactly 130.41%
Exactly 27.64%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 045.27%
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 214.22%
Exactly 33.76%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico
Wins by 2+ goals8.98%
Wins by 3+ goals2.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals28.33%
Wins by 3+ goals12.41%
Wins by 4+ goals4.46%
Wins by 5+ goals1.33%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico
Toluca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Atletico
Wins by 1 goal15.00%
Wins by 2 goals6.40%
Wins by 3 goals2.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal23.65%
Wins by 2 goals15.92%
Wins by 3 goals7.95%
Wins by 4 goals3.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.01%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.91%6.09%
1.576.85%23.15%
2.553.00%47.00%
3.530.76%69.24%
4.515.20%84.80%
5.56.49%93.51%
6.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Atletico Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.24%33.76%
1.529.58%70.42%
2.59.68%90.32%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.95%18.05%
1.551.04%48.96%
2.524.59%75.41%
3.59.50%90.50%
4.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.62%27.38%
1.537.15%62.85%
2.514.18%85.82%
3.54.26%95.74%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico
Toluca
Score012345
0
6.09%
10.43%
8.93%
5.10%
2.18%
0.75%
1
6.62%
11.33%
9.70%
5.53%
2.37%
0.81%
2
3.59%
6.15%
5.27%
3.00%
1.29%
0.44%
3
1.30%
2.23%
1.91%
1.09%
0.47%
0.16%
4
0.35%
0.60%
0.52%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
Atletico
1-06.62%
2-03.59%
2-16.15%
3-01.30%
3-12.23%
3-21.91%
4-00.35%
4-10.60%
4-20.52%
4-30.30%
Draw
0-06.09%
1-111.33%
2-25.27%
3-31.09%
4-40.13%
Toluca
0-110.43%
0-28.93%
1-29.70%
0-35.10%
1-35.53%
2-33.00%
0-42.18%
1-42.37%
2-41.29%
3-40.47%
0-50.75%
1-50.81%
2-50.44%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico
Toluca
Score01234
0
27.38%
21.70%
8.60%
2.27%
0.45%
1
13.77%
10.91%
4.32%
1.14%
0.23%
2
3.46%
2.74%
1.09%
0.29%
0.06%
3
0.58%
0.46%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Atletico
1-013.77%
2-03.46%
2-12.74%
3-00.58%
3-10.46%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-027.38%
1-110.91%
2-21.09%
Toluca
0-121.70%
0-28.60%
1-24.32%
0-32.27%
1-31.14%
2-30.29%
0-40.45%
1-40.23%