Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tijuana
UNAM 		10.6%
71.4%		18.0%
+500
-160
+450
-175
0.70
2.18		2.88
o3+102
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toluca
Santos Laguna 		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
-175
+465
-180
+460
0.99
2.12		3.11
o3-115
u3-105
o3-115
u3-105
UANL
FC Juarez 		51.8%
21.9%		26.3%
-108
+295
-110
+295
1.49
0.86		2.35
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-130
u2½+110
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
UANL
Toluca		59.4%
18.0%		22.7%
+218
+130
+210
+125
2
3		-0.85958-0.85849-1.71719
Guadalajara
Atlas		58.4%
17.1%		24.5%
+215
+151
+209
+150
3
3		-1.19981-1.17658-1.40797
Tijuana
Monterrey		12.8%
67.8%		19.4%
+635
-184
+575
-200
0
4		-0.45040-0.45435-0.38862
Leon
America		52.4%
23.1%		24.5%
+390
-141
+410
-149
2
2		-1.45831-1.42026-1.40642
Cruz Azul
Pachuca		36.3%
34.8%		28.9%
+315
+100
+315
-105
2
0		-1.44553-1.46128-1.01297
Puebla
FC Juarez		32.0%
38.1%		29.9%
+435
-130
+405
-135
2
0		-1.69429-1.65444-1.13890
Santos Laguna
Necaxa		40.1%
33.2%		26.7%
+153
+178
+145
+180
0
0		-1.31316-1.30254-1.32103
Cruz Azul
Queretaro		53.5%
22.6%		23.9%
+103
+318
+110
+280
2
2		-1.24942-1.23543-1.43008
Leon
Mazatlan FC		65.2%
15.2%		19.5%
-124
+380
-120
+328
2
1		-0.62302-0.65295-0.42699
Santos Laguna
Leon		17.6%
61.1%		21.3%
+312
-113
+295
-110
1
4		-0.65385-0.66904-0.49302
FC Juarez
Queretaro		32.7%
39.2%		28.1%
+210
+163
+200
+150
2
2		-1.14536-1.21669-1.26993
Pachuca
UNAM		28.8%
42.6%		28.6%
+182
+166
+170
+170
2
0		-1.05369-1.02753-1.24434
America
Guadalajara		30.9%
41.5%		27.6%
+131
+227
+125
+220
4
2		-0.86138-0.85271-1.17335
Monterrey
UANL		25.4%
47.6%		27.0%
+225
+145
+200
+145
1
0		-1.21143-1.14662-1.36987
Atletico
Cruz Azul		9.2%
75.6%		15.2%
+435
-125
+385
-125
0
1		-0.60484-0.63107-0.27985
Necaxa
Mazatlan FC		36.8%
36.4%		26.8%
+155
+190
+150
+185
1
0		-0.96672-0.96880-1.00049
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06168 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06493 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.93170
0.12998
0.13323

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.