Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Atletico 		62.9%
15.6%		21.5%
+135
+213
+135
+205
1.91
0.83		2.74
o2½-115
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½-105
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		31.7%
41.2%		27.1%
+1050
-409
+915
-415
1.13
1.33		2.46
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-105
u3½-115
Atlas
Toluca 		26.2%
46.8%		27.0%
+675
-258
+655
-270
0.98
1.40		2.38
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Tijuana
Leon 		5.8%
81.7%		12.5%
+313
-115
+295
-115
0.61
2.71		3.32
o3+102
u3-115
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		33.5%
38.4%		28.0%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.12
1.22		2.34
o2¾+100
u2¾-118
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlas
Monterrey		13.8%
64.7%		21.5%
+715
-225
+480
-170
0
4		-0.40193-0.51336-0.43499
UNAM
Guadalajara		34.2%
36.6%		29.1%
+246
+124
+265
+115
0
0		-1.23808-1.21345-1.23320
Leon
Toluca		72.1%
11.0%		16.8%
+500
-195
+430
-180
2
2		-1.60734-1.56518-1.78236
Puebla
Atletico		48.5%
25.0%		26.4%
+380
-135
+420
-165
0
2		-0.58902-0.52281-1.38458
UANL
Tijuana		65.8%
13.2%		21.0%
+102
+260
-105
+260
3
0		-0.73712-0.71756-0.41869
America
Mazatlan FC		44.5%
30.0%		25.6%
+108
+250
+105
+245
5
0		-0.76636-0.76819-0.81076
FC Juarez
Queretaro		32.7%
39.2%		28.1%
+231
+132
+210
+130
2
1		-1.20404-1.18159-1.11877
Monterrey
America		31.6%
41.2%		27.2%
+298
+100
+310
-110
1
2		-0.72788-0.69485-0.88661
Atletico
FC Juarez		19.5%
57.2%		23.2%
+180
+152
+175
+150
4
2		-1.06389-1.05976-1.63225
Toluca
Necaxa		22.1%
54.7%		23.2%
+153
+174
+145
+175
3
1		-0.96257-0.94448-1.50887
Tijuana
Atlas		29.9%
40.1%		30.0%
+350
-120
+330
-120
0
0		-1.35155-1.34542-1.20321
Pachuca
UANL		26.4%
44.7%		28.9%
+448
-160
+425
-160
1
2		-0.52084-0.53408-0.80511
Cruz Azul
UNAM		33.5%
38.4%		28.0%
+145
+240
+135
+225
2
0		-0.90790-0.89911-1.09240
Queretaro
Leon		9.9%
73.8%		16.3%
+315
-113
+345
-130
0
4		-0.66795-0.61902-0.30317
Guadalajara
Puebla		45.3%
26.6%		28.1%
-101
+300
-120
+320
0
1		-1.41313-1.48408-1.32354
Mazatlan FC
Santos Laguna		22.5%
54.9%		22.5%
+112
+250
+110
+250
0
0		-1.31957-1.28884-1.48992
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.26672
0.03659
0.04040

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.