Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 24, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Puebla
UNAM 		18.6%
56.8%		24.5%
+488
-166
+495
-175
0.82
1.64		2.46
o2½-105
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-115
America
Atlas 		57.8%
18.0%		24.1%
-128
+375
-135
+360
1.68
0.81		2.49
o2½-118
u2½+100
o2½-125
u2½+105
Games for Aug 23, 2025
Games for Aug 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlas
Guadalajara		12.7%
66.0%		21.3%
+219
+157
+210
+145
1
4		-0.97918-0.93565-0.41621
UANL
Pachuca		36.3%
32.8%		30.8%
+140
+198
+145
+184
1
1		-1.30645-1.29773-1.17733
FC Juarez
Monterrey		21.7%
53.4%		24.8%
+607
-209
+600
-214
1
3		-0.41473-0.42664-0.62642
America
Mazatlan FC		44.5%
30.0%		25.6%
-159
+420
-160
+395
2
1		-0.51887-0.53686-0.81076
Tijuana
Santos Laguna		12.0%
69.9%		18.1%
+376
-142
+385
-155
1
2		-0.56210-0.54599-0.35875
Toluca
UANL		13.2%
67.2%		19.6%
+505
-175
+460
-184
2
2		-1.52065-1.54285-1.63081
Queretaro
UNAM		17.8%
59.7%		22.5%
+324
-110
+330
-120
0
4		-0.67262-0.64986-0.51592
Cruz Azul
Necaxa		45.5%
28.5%		26.1%
+120
+258
+120
+240
3
1		-0.80312-0.82624-0.78814
Pachuca
America		32.6%
38.6%		28.8%
+500
-176
+480
-180
0
4		-0.47613-0.48600-0.95083
Monterrey
Puebla		43.4%
28.6%		28.0%
-134
+389
-130
+335
1
1		-1.42624-1.41124-1.27257
Guadalajara
Toluca		54.3%
21.9%		23.8%
+281
+114
+276
+110
1
1		-1.31226-1.33052-1.43431
UANL
Mazatlan FC		51.1%
23.8%		25.0%
+105
+283
+105
+280
3
2		-0.73685-0.73255-0.67109
UNAM
America		35.8%
35.6%		28.6%
+384
-131
+350
-140
0
1		-0.58178-0.58727-1.03381
Necaxa
Pachuca		25.5%
48.1%		26.4%
+380
-130
+380
-139
1
1		-1.39050-1.41395-1.33014
FC Juarez
Tijuana		45.8%
26.8%		27.4%
+258
+125
+228
+125
1
5		-0.82867-0.85346-1.31778
Cruz Azul
Atletico		69.0%
12.7%		18.2%
+184
+148
+180
+145
2
1		-1.07417-1.07631-0.37086
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.98114 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.96721 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.99572
-0.01459
-0.02851

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.