Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 29, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mazatlan FC
FC Juarez 		34.5%
38.1%		27.4%


1.18
1.26		2.44


Toluca
Atletico 		42.8%
31.1%		26.1%


1.43
1.18		2.61


Monterrey
Puebla 		43.4%
28.6%		28.0%


1.29
1.00		2.29


Games for Aug 28, 2025
Games for Aug 30, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monterrey
Toluca		52.3%
23.7%		24.0%
+185
+140
+165
+145
0
1		-0.90042-0.94698-1.43936
Atletico
Pachuca		11.3%
70.3%		18.4%
+270
+100
+320
-110
2
0		-1.33789-1.45320-2.17639
Cruz Azul
Monterrey		38.6%
33.8%		27.6%
+465
-175
+420
-165
2
1		-1.76662-1.68513-0.95104
UANL
UNAM		33.7%
36.2%		30.1%
+137
+205
+140
+195
1
2		-1.14926-1.12633-1.01559
Queretaro
Necaxa		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+207
+145
+200
+145
1
0		-1.15617-1.13529-1.33800
Guadalajara
Santos Laguna		33.0%
39.4%		27.6%
+205
+134
+210
+125
1
2		-0.88039-0.84756-0.93227
Leon
America		52.4%
23.1%		24.5%
+305
-110
+300
-105
1
1		-1.41622-1.36975-1.40642
Toluca
Atlas		38.1%
33.0%		28.9%
+293
-105
+270
+100
0
0		-1.34854-1.32787-1.23977
Mazatlan FC
Tijuana		49.9%
25.3%		24.8%
+290
-108
+280
-110
1
1		-1.38286-1.42263-1.39594
FC Juarez
Puebla		30.9%
39.7%		29.4%
+198
+140
+200
+135
0
1		-0.90882-0.89040-0.92334
Leon
Atletico		78.8%
7.4%		13.7%
+115
+248
+125
+212
0
3		-1.27097-1.17244-2.59964
Cruz Azul
Pachuca		36.3%
34.8%		28.9%
+237
+125
+225
+132
0
1		-0.83989-0.86977-1.05587
Necaxa
America		26.4%
48.1%		25.5%
+665
-245
+650
-230
2
3		-0.36472-0.38337-0.73131
UNAM
FC Juarez		49.7%
24.0%		26.3%
+145
+193
+138
+210
1
4		-1.10957-1.16514-1.42599
Puebla
Mazatlan FC		31.0%
41.8%		27.2%
+285
-112
+330
-115
0
1		-0.67244-0.63124-0.87172
Tijuana
Guadalajara		11.8%
69.1%		19.1%
+415
-147
+500
-152
0
1		-0.55396-0.50266-0.37006
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.96688 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.96872 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.97611
-0.00924
-0.00740

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.