Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atletico
Leon 		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+250
+105
+250
+105
0.63
2.90		3.53
o2¾-112
u2¾-106
o2½-145
u3-140
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey 		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+505
-190
+500
-185
1.09
1.75		2.84
o2¾-110
u2¾-110
o2½-145
u2½+125
America
Necaxa 		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+104
+260
+105
+255
1.27
1.16		2.43
o2½-116
u2½-102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul 		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+312
-110
+300
-110
1.05
1.40		2.45
o2½-111
u2½-108
o2½-120
u2½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Juarez
Monterrey		21.7%
53.4%		24.8%
+663
-243
+635
-250
2
3		-0.37965-0.38750-0.62642
Necaxa
Mazatlan FC		36.8%
36.4%		26.8%
+280
+102
+250
+110
0
0		-1.31834-1.28884-1.31580
Leon
Guadalajara		50.3%
24.1%		25.6%
+425
-150
+375
-140
0
2		-0.54578-0.58805-1.42391
Puebla
UNAM		18.6%
56.8%		24.5%
+525
-186
+480
-180
0
1		-0.46472-0.49115-0.56556
UANL
Queretaro		53.1%
21.5%		25.3%
-174
+480
-175
+475
0
1		-1.79300-1.79921-1.53596
Atlas
America		13.3%
65.6%		21.0%
+534
-175
+395
-140
0
3		-0.48644-0.58971-0.42115
Cruz Azul
Atletico		69.0%
12.7%		18.2%
-140
+384
-140
+360
1
3		-1.61134-1.57552-2.05980
Toluca
Pachuca		16.6%
61.8%		21.6%
+160
+165
+150
+175
2
2		-1.33003-1.30096-1.53262
Monterrey
Santos Laguna		31.2%
42.2%		26.6%
-190
+520
-170
+450
2
0		-0.45754-0.51099-1.16379
Cruz Azul
Leon		21.2%
55.2%		23.6%
-112
+320
-110
+295
2
1		-0.67270-0.69631-1.55013
Guadalajara
America		33.4%
38.4%		28.2%
+325
+100
+280
+105
0
1		-0.71799-0.76613-0.95597
Tijuana
Toluca		25.2%
49.6%		25.2%
+645
-255
+575
-230
0
4		-0.36625-0.41106-0.70029
UNAM
Necaxa		43.3%
29.6%		27.2%
+125
+252
+130
+225
0
2		-1.27261-1.21049-1.21902
Mazatlan FC
FC Juarez		34.5%
38.1%		27.4%
+200
+173
+200
+150
0
1		-1.00789-0.94338-0.96543
Atletico
UANL		8.9%
74.7%		16.3%
+516
-210
+550
-220
0
1		-0.42356-0.41521-0.29109
Pachuca
Atlas		57.2%
17.4%		25.4%
+199
+166
+190
+160
0
2		-1.00581-0.99661-1.74583
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.84900 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.83817 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.97111
-0.12212
-0.13294

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.