Nationals at Red Sox

Updated
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8
40.6%59.4%
Nationals WinRed Sox Win
5.01Projected Runs 5.99
Rank9
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8
Rank9
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Andrew Alvarez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Payton Tolle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 8-1 at Boston Red SoxWSN: Cade Cavalli • BOS: Connelly Early+122
L 3-6 at Boston Red SoxWSN: Miles Mikolas • BOS: Ranger Suarez+158
W 6-4 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Zack Littell • BAL: Kyle Bradish+175
W 4-3 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Foster Griffin • BAL: Brandon Young+105
L 1-3 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Andrew Alvarez • BAL: Trevor Rogers+120
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 8-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Cade Cavalli • BOS: Connelly Early-126
W 3-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Miles Mikolas • BOS: Ranger Suarez-162
W 4-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodon • BOS: Sonny Gray-105
W 1-4 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BOS: Jake Bennett+108
W 1-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Will Warren • BOS: Payton Tolle+100

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PMitchell Parker15-day IL
  • PDJ HerzOut
  • PRichard Lovelady15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • SSTrevor Story60-day IL
  • SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa10-day IL
  • 2BMarcelo Mayer10-day IL
  • PGarrett Crochet60-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony60-day IL
  • 1BNick Sogard10-day IL
  • PJovani Moran15-day IL
WSW 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)91°92°94°94°
Humidity58%56%54%52%
Precipitation51%40%40%40%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 9 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+156-+125+131-+131+131-
Red Sox-173--149-145--145-145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+130+135+130+130+133+133+135-
Red Sox-146-145-150-155-150-148-145-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +136 to +124
Red Sox ML moved from -137 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-155-+1½-160+1½-155-+1½-155+1½-155-
Red Sox-1½+135--1½+135-1½+135--1½+135-1½+135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-160+1½-160+1½-150+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-150-
Red Sox-1½+140-1½+140-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-105-o9½-120o10-105-o10-105o10-105-
Underu10½-115-u9½+100u10-115-u10-115u10-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-110o10-110o10-115o10-110o10-110o10-110o10-110-
Underu10-110u10-110u10-105u10-110u10-110u10-110u10-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u10-105 to u10-110