Brewers at Pirates

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
65.4%34.6%
Brewers WinPirates Win
5.08Projected Runs 3.48
12Final Score 8
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
Rank7
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1

Pitching

Brandon Woodruff (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-53.050.991

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-12.911.246

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 4-2 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Sam Long • MIL: Corbin Burnes-180
W 1-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIL: Eric Lauer • PHI: Aaron Nola+125
W 5-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIL: Adrian Houser • PHI: Zack Wheeler+130
L 2-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIL: Freddy Peralta • PHI: Ranger Suarez+110
W 2-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-240
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: JT Brubaker • CHC: Justin Steele+145
L 0-21 at Chicago CubsPIT: Zach Thompson • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+158
W 4-2 at Chicago CubsPIT: Jose Quintana • CHC: Drew Smyly+160
W 4-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: Bryse Wilson • CHC: Mark Leiter+149
L 2-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+220

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 2BLuis Urias10-day IL
  • RFHunter RenfroeRest
  • CPedro SeverinoUnknown

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CFCole TuckerOut
  • RFAnthony AlfordRest
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood10-day IL
  • 2BMichael ChavisRest
  • CFBryan ReynoldsOut
SW 4 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)55°53°52°53°
Humidity61%64%59%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionOvercastMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 4 mphNNE 5 mphNW 8 mphWNW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-160-170-180-173-173-173-170-165.5
Pirates+150+160+148+159+158+159+160+165.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-175-180-180-170-175-172-170-165.5
Pirates+160+165+163+155+160+161+165+165.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -168 to -180
Pirates ML moved from +151 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -170 to -180
Pirates ML moved from +153 to +141

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+100-1½-105-1½-110-1½-113-1½-114-1½-113-1½-105-1½+100
Pirates+1½-120+1½-115+1½-110+1½-107+1½-106+1½-107+1½-106+1½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½-110-1½-110-1½-111-1½-110-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½+100
Pirates+1½-110+1½-110+1½-107+1½-110+1½-105+1½-110+1½-105+1½+100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7-110o7-110o7-110o7-110o7-110o7-110o7+100
Underu7½-115u7-110u7-110u7-110u7-110u7-110u7-110u7+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7-110o7-115o7-110o7-115o7-110o7-110o7+100
Underu7½-115u7-110u7-105u7-110u7-105u7-110u7-105u7+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7-106 to u7-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7+100 to u7-110