Reds at Blue Jays

Updated
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
39.3%60.7%
Reds WinBlue Jays Win
3.60Projected Runs 4.72
1Final Score 2
Rank8
R/G5.2
RA/G4.2
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank8
R/G5.2
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-63.211.229

Hyun Jin Ryu (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-22.691.149

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 4-2 at Cleveland IndiansCIN: Tyler Mahle • CLE: Cal Quantrill+122
W 5-4 at Cleveland IndiansCIN: Connor Overton • CLE: Zach Plesac+145
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Jose Quintana+138
L 1-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Zach Thompson-119
W 8-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Mitch Keller+100
Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Marco Gonzales • TOR: Kevin Gausman-240
W 0-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • TOR: Jose Berrios-136
W 2-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • TOR: Yusei Kikuchi-159
L 0-3 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Alek Manoah • TBR: Jeffrey Springs-115
W 5-1 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Hyun Jin Ryu • TBR: Ryan Yarbrough-117

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • LFLourdes Gurriel Jr.Questionable
  • PRyan Borucki10-day IL
  • PTim Mayza10-day IL
  • 2BCavan Biggio10-day IL
SSE 10 mph
Rogers Centre, Toronto
WindO/U Effect
To CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)70°69°65°63°
Humidity70%73%80%83%
Precipitation0%3%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyOvercast
WindSSE 10 mphSE 8 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+155+170+153+171+166+171+171+170.3
Blue Jays-165-180-185-186-186-186-180-170.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+160+165+165+160+160+167+167+170.3
Blue Jays-170-180-182-175-175-182-175-170.3

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +164 to +158
Blue Jays ML moved from -171 to -181

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +161 to +155
Blue Jays ML moved from -172 to -178

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-135+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-109
Blue Jays-1½+115-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-130+1½-125+1½-113+1½-125+1½-130+1½-120+1½-113+1½-109
Blue Jays-1½+110-1½+105-1½-105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+100-1½+110-1½+109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8-115o8-115o8-112o8-112o8-112o8-112o8-104
Underu7½-110u8-105u8-105u8-108u8-108u8-108u8-105u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-110o8-105o8½+110o8½+100o8-110o8-105o8-104
Underu8½-120u8-110u8-115u8½-130u8½-120u8-110u8½-120u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-112
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-115