Nationals at Phillies

Updated
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8
37.7%62.3%
Nationals WinPhillies Win
3.62Projected Runs 4.90
3Final Score 2
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-53.281.079

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 0-11 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Paolo Espino • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez+150
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Braxton Garrett • WSN: Patrick Corbin-107
L 7-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • WSN: Erick Fedde+115
L 5-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Daniel Castano • WSN: Jackson Tetreault+104
L 6-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • WSN: Josiah Gray-120
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 0-11 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-155
W 0-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • PHI: Zack Wheeler-160
L 7-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Matthew Liberatore • PHI: Kyle Gibson-118
W 3-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • PHI: Bailey Falter+131
W 4-14 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ian Anderson • PHI: Aaron Nola-143

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PVictor AranoUnknown
  • PStephen StrasburgUnknown
  • DHNelson CruzRest
  • 3BMaikel FrancoRest
  • SSAlcides EscobarRest
  • RFJuan SotoUnknown

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PDamon Jones60-day IL
  • PRanger SuarezUnknown
  • PZach EflinUnknown
  • PConnor BrogdonUnknown
  • 3BJohan Camargo10-day IL
  • DHBryce Harper10-day IL
  • SSDidi GregoriusUnknown
NNE 4 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
InVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)85°84°83°83°
Humidity59%62%63%63%
Precipitation5%4%3%2%
ConditionMostly CloudyOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindNNE 4 mphNE 4 mphNE 4 mphNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+190+185+175+183+179+183+185+192.5
Phillies-210-200-215-199-199-199-199-192.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+198+185+184+180+189+185+189+192.5
Phillies-220-210-204-220-210-205-204-192.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +185 to +168
Phillies ML moved from -190 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +190 to +180
Phillies ML moved from -200 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-110+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-109
Phillies-1½-110-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-110+1½-120+1½-118+1½-120+1½-110+1½-120+1½-110+1½-109
Phillies-1½-108-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½-110-1½+100-1½+100-1½+109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+104
Underu8-120u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-105o8-105o8-110o8+100o8-105o8+100o8+104
Underu8-120u8-115u8-115u8-110u8-120u8-115u8-110u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+103 to o8-103
The Under moved from u8-111 to u8-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-100 to o8-110
No Steam Moves On Under