Orioles at Red Sox

Updated

Baltimore Orioles

(38-81)
Rank29
R/G4.0
RA/G5.9
39.5%60.5%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
4.91Projected Runs 6.01
2Final Score 13

Boston Red Sox

(69-54)
Rank9
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5
Rank29
R/G4.0
RA/G5.9
Rank9
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Tommy Milone (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Nathan Eovaldi (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-01.51.0

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 4-5 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Chandler Shepherd • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez+260
W 9-4 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Dinelson Lamet • BOS: Griffin Canning+148
W 4-1 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Caleb Smith • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi+190
L 2-3 at Toronto Blue JaysBAL: Stephen Strasburg • TOR: Justus Sheffield+139
W 11-4 at Toronto Blue JaysBAL: Aaron Brooks • TOR: Brendan McKay+105
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Chandler Shepherd • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez-275
L 9-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dinelson Lamet • BOS: Griffin Canning-152
L 4-1 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Caleb Smith • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-200
L 5-7 at Texas RangersBOS: Travis Lakins • TEX: Walker Lockett+122
W 10-3 at Texas RangersBOS: Joe Musgrove • TEX: Kolby Allard-122

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • LFStevie WilkersonOut
  • SSRichie Martin60-day IL
  • 1BTrey ManciniOut for Season
  • PJohn MeansUnknown
  • PTy BlachOut for Season
  • PHunter Harvey10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PDarwinzon Hernandez10-day IL
  • PJosh Taylor10-day IL
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
  • 2BDustin Pedroia60-day IL
  • PEduardo RodriguezOut for Season
ESE 3 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°75°75°75°
Humidity66%69%67%70%
Precipitation0%0%0%1%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindESE 3 mphESE 3 mphSE 4 mphSSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+179+190+190+192+185+192+192-
Red Sox-195-210-220-210-210-210-210-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+190+188+185+190+195+195-
Red Sox-220-208-210-220-215-208-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 40.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +201 to +192
Red Sox ML moved from -220 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-110+1½+100+1½+115+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+115-
Red Sox-1½-110-1½-120-1½-135-1½-125-1½-120-1½-125-1½-120-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½+105+1½+102+1½+105+1½+100+1½+100+1½+105-
Red Sox-1½-125-1½-120-1½-125-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o10+100o10-105o10+100-o10+100o10+100-
Underu9½-120u10-120u10-115u10-120-u10-120u10-115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o10+100o9½-125o10-105o10+100o10+105o10+105-
Underu9½+100u10-120u9½+105u10-115u10-120u10-125u9½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-125
The Under moved from u10-115 to u10-125
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