Mets at Marlins

Updated
Rank17
R/G3.8
RA/G4.0
54.7%45.3%
Mets WinMarlins Win
4.69Projected Runs 4.19
1Final Score 3
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2
Rank17
R/G3.8
RA/G4.0
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Joey Lucchesi (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
116-43.611.186

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 6-5 at Miami MarlinsNYM: Marcus Stroman • MIA: John Curtiss-105
L 4-5 at Atlanta BravesNYM: David Peterson • ATL: Charlie Morton+177
W 4-3 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Miguel Castro • ATL: Tucker Davidson+140
W 3-1 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Taijuan Walker • ATL: Max Fried+151
L 1-7 at Tampa Bay RaysNYM: Marcus Stroman • TBR: Josh Fleming-105
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 6-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Marcus Stroman • MIA: John Curtiss-102
W 6-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Sandy Alcantara • PHI: David Hale-105
W 3-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Trevor Rogers • PHI: Zach Eflin+110
L 3-8 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Cody Poteet • PHI: Zack Wheeler+168
W 3-2 at Los Angeles DodgersMIA: Pablo Lopez • LAD: Jimmy Nelson+135

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • 2BJose PerazaUnknown
  • CFAlbert Almora Jr.10-day IL
  • 3BJ.D. Davis10-day IL
  • PJacob deGrom10-day IL
  • RFMichael Conforto10-day IL
  • PCarlos Carrasco60-day IL
  • 2BJeff McNeil10-day IL
  • CFKevin Pillar10-day IL
  • PTaijuan Walker10-day IL
  • PDellin Betances60-day IL
  • 2BLuis Guillorme10-day IL
  • LFBrandon Nimmo10-day IL
  • PTommy Hunter10-day IL
  • 1BPete Alonso10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • LFCorey DickersonRest
  • PJordan Holloway10-day IL
  • PPaul CampbellOut
  • CFLewis Brinson10-day IL
E 14 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°78°77°76°
Humidity62%63%62%61%
Precipitation2%3%2%2%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindE 14 mphE 15 mphENE 16 mphENE 17 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+155+141+138+141+146+144+146-
Marlins-180-156-158-153-156-156-156-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+164+145+146+142+135+141+146-
Marlins-178-155-160-152-150-151-150-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 50.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +142 to +136
Marlins ML moved from -147 to -153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 50.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +145 to +138
Marlins ML moved from -150 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-135+1½-155+1½-155+1½-153+1½-153+1½-153+1½-153-
Marlins-1½+115-1½+135-1½+135-1½+133-1½+133-1½+133-1½+135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-135+1½-150+1½-154+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150-
Marlins-1½+115-1½+130-1½+135-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7-102o7-105o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100-
Underu7½-115u7-118u7-115u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7-105o7+105o7+100o7-115o7+105o7+105-
Underu7½-115u7-115u7-125u7-120u7-105u7-125u7-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-117 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7-105 to u7-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7-105 to u7-125