Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
35.2%64.8%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.86Projected Runs 5.40
8Final Score 5
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-12.911.246

Dauri Moreta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-9 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Connor Overton-115
W 7-2 at Detroit TigersPIT: Jose Quintana • DET: Alex Faedo+125
L 2-3 at Detroit TigersPIT: Dillon Peters • DET: Michael Pineda+145
L 5-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • PIT: Mitch Keller+160
W 6-7 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Sean Manaea • PIT: JT Brubaker+144
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Connor Overton+108
L 5-10 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Hunter Greene • MIL: Adrian Houser+220
L 4-18 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • MIL: Freddy Peralta+280
L 3-6 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+210
L 1-10 at Colorado RockiesCIN: Reiver Sanmartin • COL: Kyle Freeland+142

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
  • 2BMichael ChavisRest
  • RFAnthony AlfordRest
  • CFCole TuckerUnknown
  • PAnthony Banda10-day IL
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PLuis Castillo10-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • CTyler StephensonRest
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
NE 10 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)61°60°59°58°
Humidity68%68%70%75%
Precipitation0%10%11%9%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastMostly Cloudy
WindNE 10 mphNE 9 mphNE 8 mphNE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-120-125-125-123-123-123-123-118.7
Reds+100+115+105+113+113+113+115+118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-115-125-124-125-125-125-124-118.7
Reds+105+115+114+115+115+115+115+118.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 50.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from -117 to -123
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 50.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from -115 to -121
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-1½+135-1½+125-1½+135-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+135-1½+133
Reds+1½-160+1½-145+1½-160+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-1½+125-1½+125-1½+122-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+133
Reds+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o9+105o9+105o9+105o9+105o9+109
Underu8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u9-125u9-125u9-125u8½+100u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+109
Underu9-115u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under