Brewers at Pirates

Updated

Milwaukee Brewers

(74-47)
Rank7
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
64.0%36.0%
Brewers WinPirates Win
5.10Projected Runs 3.64
5Final Score 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

(42-79)
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
Rank7
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1

Pitching

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-64.741.324

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-12.911.246

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 1-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Luis Ortiz-158
W 7-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Tobias Myers • PIT: Bailey Falter-144
W 9-10 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Jordan Montgomery • MIL: Frankie Montas-128
L 5-0 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • MIL: Aaron Civale-101
L 7-4 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • MIL: Colin Rea+120
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Luis Ortiz+148
L 7-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Tobias Myers • PIT: Bailey Falter+134
W 2-0 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Paul Skenes • CIN: Hunter Greene+102
L 1-7 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Jared Jones • CIN: Rhett Lowder+116
L 3-8 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Nick Martinez+116

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PBryse Wilson15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PKyle Nicolas15-day IL
  • CHenry Davis10-day IL
  • PBen Heller60-day IL
SE 3 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°73°74°75°
Humidity83%79%77%74%
Precipitation13%9%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSE 3 mphSE 3 mphESE 3 mphSE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+110--122-114--114-114-
Pirates-120-+102+104-+104+104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-115-115-115--116-115-115-
Pirates+105+105+105-+106+105+106-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 40.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -108 to -117
Pirates ML moved from +101 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 40.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Brewers ML
Pirates ML moved from +110 to +102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+145--1½+140-1½+143--1½+143-1½+143-
Pirates+1½-170-+1½-165+1½-163-+1½-163+1½-163-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+140-1½+140-1½+143--1½+140-1½+140-1½+143-
Pirates+1½-160+1½-160+1½-162-+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110-o7½-110o7½+100-o7½+100o7½+100-
Underu8-110-u7½-110u7½-120-u7½-120u7½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-105o7½-110-o7½-110o7½-105o7½-105-
Underu8-110u7½-115u7½-110-u7½-110u7½-115u7½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-110
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