Pirates at Red Sox

Updated
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
30.1%69.9%
Pirates WinRed Sox Win
3.58Projected Runs 5.62
2Final Score 5
Rank9
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
Rank9
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-12.911.246

Lucas Giolito (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-33.481.037

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 10-3 at Boston Red SoxPIT: Johan Oviedo • BOS: Dustin May+170
W 4-2 at Boston Red SoxPIT: Paul Skenes • BOS: Payton Tolle+105
L 1-4 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Braxton Ashcraft • STL: Miles Mikolas+106
W 2-1 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • STL: Sonny Gray+155
W 8-3 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Mitch Keller • STL: Andre Pallante+111
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 10-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • BOS: Dustin May-174
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • BOS: Payton Tolle-113
W 3-2 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Garrett Crochet • BAL: Cade Povich-190
W 3-2 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Brayan Bello • BAL: Dietrich Enns-133
W 5-0 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Lucas Giolito • BAL: Kyle Bradish-115

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • RFJack Suwinski10-day IL
  • CFRonny Simon10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BMarcelo MayerOut for Season
  • PTanner HouckOut for Season
  • PRichard Fitts15-day IL
  • RFWilyer Abreu10-day IL
NE 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
InModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°74°73°72°
Humidity47%49%49%49%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNE 7 mphE 9 mphE 9 mphESE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+165-+150+154-+154+154-
Red Sox-183--182-171--171-171-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+158+160+156+150+152+157+160-
Red Sox-190-175-174-178-174-172-172-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +149 to +143
Red Sox ML moved from -173 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +156 to +150
Red Sox ML moved from -165 to -172

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140-+1½-130+1½-133-+1½-133+1½-130-
Red Sox-1½+120--1½+110-1½+113--1½+113-1½+113-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130+1½-135+1½-136+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135-
Red Sox-1½+110-1½+115-1½+116-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-112-o8½-105o8½-113-o8½-113o8½-105-
Underu8½-108-u8½-115u8½-107-u8½-107u8½-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110-
Underu8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+103 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-105