Braves at Phillies

Updated
Rank12
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2
43.6%56.4%
Braves WinPhillies Win
3.74Projected Runs 4.41
6Final Score 3
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
Rank12
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Spencer Strider (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-53.281.079

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 4-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Max Fried • PHI: Ranger Suarez-164
L 9-1 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • ATL: Ian Anderson-205
W 2-7 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Patrick Sandoval • ATL: Kyle Wright-220
W 1-8 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Shohei Ohtani • ATL: Charlie Morton-141
L 3-7 at Washington NationalsATL: Spencer Strider • WSN: Erasmo Ramirez-275
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 4-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • PHI: Ranger Suarez+164
L 4-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • PHI: Bailey Falter-113
L 6-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Marcus Stroman • PHI: Zack Wheeler-166
L 15-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PHI: Kyle Gibson-123
W 4-0 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Aaron Nola • MIA: Trevor Rogers-125

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • 3BOrlando ArciaRest
  • LFAdam DuvallOut for Season
  • PDarren O'Day10-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PZach EflinUnknown
  • PDamon Jones60-day IL
  • CFOdubel HerreraRest
SW 4 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°78°77°77°
Humidity58%62%64%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSW 4 mphSW 4 mphSSW 4 mphSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-135-125-132-128-126-128-125-118.7
Phillies+125+115+110+118+116+118+118+118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-120-120-120-118-120-120-118-118.7
Phillies+110+110+110+108+110+110+110+118.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Phillies: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -119 to -125
Phillies ML moved from +102 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Phillies: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Braves ML
Phillies ML moved from +108 to +102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+132-1½+132-1½+132-1½+135-1½+145
Phillies+1½-150+1½-155+1½-160+1½-152+1½-152+1½-152+1½-152+1½-145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+130-1½+140-1½+137-1½+140-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+145
Phillies+1½-150+1½-160+1½-156+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+114
Underu7+100u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½+100o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+114
Underu8-110u7½-120u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-120u7½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-120 to o8-105
The Under moved from u7½-118 to u7½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125