D-backs at Padres

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
39.2%60.8%
D-backs WinPadres Win
3.23Projected Runs 4.36
10Final Score 1
Rank11
R/G4.7
RA/G4.0
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank11
R/G4.7
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-22.590.989

Dinelson Lamet (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
123-12.090.855

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 5-11 at San Diego PadresARI: Corbin Martin • SDP: Chris Paddack+290
L 3-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • ARI: Caleb Smith+201
L 5-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • ARI: Zac Gallen+132
W 1-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brett Anderson • ARI: Merrill Kelly+114
L 9-8 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tony Gonsolin • ARI: Alex Young+165
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 5-11 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Corbin Martin • SDP: Chris Paddack-310
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Trevor Bauer • SDP: Joe Musgrove-110
W 2-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • SDP: Blake Snell+116
W 2-6 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • SDP: Yu Darvish-132
W 2-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • SDP: Dinelson Lamet-121

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • PTaylor Clarke10-day IL
  • PMatt PeacockOut
  • PSeth Frankoff60-day IL
  • CFKetel MarteUnknown
  • PMadison Bumgarner10-day IL
  • CCarson Kelly10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PPierce Johnson10-day IL
  • PDan Altavilla60-day IL
WNW 5 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°66°65°64°
Humidity74%78%83%79%
Precipitation1%0%1%0%
ConditionClearClearPartly CloudyClear
WindWNW 5 mphWNW 5 mphWNW 4 mphWNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+228+222+230+234+221+234+234-
Padres-255-250-280-261-261-261-250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+258+240+233+235+233+230+240-
Padres-290-280-259-270-270-260-259-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
D-backs: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

D-backs: 40.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

D-backs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

D-backs: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

D-backs ML moved from +230 to +223
Padres ML moved from -250 to -261

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
D-backs: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

D-backs: 40.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

D-backs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

D-backs: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

D-backs ML moved from +248 to +235
Padres ML moved from -270 to -280

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+1½+108+1½-104+1½+115+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+115-
Padres-1½-128-1½-116-1½-135-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-116-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+1½+120+1½+120+1½+110+1½+110+1½+120+1½+110+1½+120-
Padres-1½-138-1½-140-1½-128-1½-130-1½-140-1½-130-1½-128-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-110o8-110o8-107o7½-121o8-107o7½-121-
Underu8+100u8-110u8-110u8-113u7½+101u8-113u8-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-120o7½-125o7½-120o8-115o8-105o7½-120-
Underu8-105u7½+100u7½+105u7½+100u8-105u8-115u8-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+101 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8-105 to u7½-105