Phillies at Braves

Updated

Philadelphia Phillies

(61-59)
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
45.8%54.2%
Phillies WinBraves Win
4.18Projected Runs 4.62
7Final Score 8

Atlanta Braves

(65-56)
Rank12
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
Rank12
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Vince Velasquez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-15.561.559

Ian Anderson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-21.951.082

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 12-2 at Atlanta BravesPHI: Zach Eflin • ATL: Charlie Morton+132
W 0-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • PHI: Zack Wheeler+110
W 4-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • PHI: Chase Anderson+125
W 5-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • PHI: Aaron Nola-163
W 3-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • PHI: Vince Velasquez+105
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 12-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zach Eflin • ATL: Charlie Morton-140
W 3-2 at Washington NationalsATL: Drew Smyly • WSN: Jon Lester-108
W 5-3 at Washington NationalsATL: Max Fried • WSN: Erick Fedde-130
W 6-1 at Washington NationalsATL: Huascar Ynoa • WSN: Joe Ross-124
L 2-7 at Toronto Blue JaysATL: Ian Anderson • TOR: Ross Stripling-120

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • LFMatt Joyce10-day IL
  • 2BRonald Torreyes10-day IL
  • PJoJo Romero10-day IL
  • CFAdam HaseleyOut
  • CFRoman Quinn10-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • CFEnder Inciarte10-day IL
  • PChris Martin10-day IL
  • CAlex Jackson10-day IL
  • CTravis d'Arnaud60-day IL
  • CFGuillermo Heredia10-day IL
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
UnknownUnknown
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+151+135+140+141+143+141+143-
Braves-175-150-160-153-153-153-150-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+156+146+143+142+140+147+147-
Braves-172-156-157-152-155-157-152-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Phillies: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +144 to +135
Braves ML moved from -167 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Phillies: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +152 to +139
No Steam Moves On Braves ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-135+1½-146+1½-145+1½-139+1½-139+1½-139+1½-139-
Braves-1½+115-1½+126-1½+125-1½+119-1½+119-1½+119-1½+126-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-128+1½-140+1½-138+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-136-
Braves-1½+110-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-105o9+100o9+103o9+103o9+103o9+103-
Underu8½+100u9-115u9-120u9-123u9-123u9-123u9-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9+100o9+100o9-105o9+100o9+100o9+100-
Underu9-120u9-120u9-120u9-115u9-120u9-120u9-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+110 to o9+100
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+107 to o9+100
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-127
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