Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(54-69)
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.9
52.9%47.1%
Cubs WinPirates Win
4.69Projected Runs 4.39
1Final Score 12

Pittsburgh Pirates

(42-79)
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.9
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1

Pitching

Caleb Kilian (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 6-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ian Anderson • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+145
W 3-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • CHC: Justin Steele+182
W 0-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • CHC: Keegan Thompson+170
L 6-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • CHC: Matt Swarmer+173
L 19-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Ryan Weathers • CHC: Caleb Kilian-132
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 3-4 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • PIT: Mitch Keller+170
L 7-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Wood • PIT: Jose Quintana+155
L 2-0 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Carlos Rodon • PIT: Zach Thompson+200
W 6-4 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Roansy Contreras • STL: Jack Flaherty+175
L 1-9 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Bryse Wilson • STL: Miles Mikolas+194

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • Drew SmylyUnknown
  • PWade MileyUnknown
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown
  • -Manuel Rodriguez60-day IL
  • 1BFrank SchwindelRest

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • LFBen Gamel10-day IL
  • DHYoshitomo Tsutsugo10-day IL
  • SSTucupita MarcanoUnknown
  • PZach ThompsonUnknown
  • PDillon PetersUnknown
  • 2BJosh VanMeter10-day IL
SE 4 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)66°66°69°73°
Humidity67%72%60%55%
Precipitation2%4%2%1%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSE 4 mphESE 3 mphS 4 mphSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-105+100+100+104+104+104+104+104.4
Pirates-105-110-120-114-114-114-110-104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-105+103+100+100+100-101+103+104.4
Pirates-105-113-110-110-110-109-109-104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +106 to +100
Pirates ML moved from -107 to -113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +108 to +100
Pirates ML moved from -112 to -118

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155+1½-205+1½-205+1½-205-1½+161
Pirates+1½-170+1½-175+1½-180-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175+1½-161
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+161
Pirates+1½-170+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-161

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-115o8-120o8-113o8-113o8-113o8-113o8-104
Underu8½-120u8-105u8+100u8-107u8-107u8-107u8+100u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-104
Underu8½-120u8+100u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+100u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-107 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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