Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(54-69)
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.9
54.1%45.9%
Cubs WinPirates Win
4.95Projected Runs 4.52
6Final Score 8
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.9
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1

Pitching

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-54.481.155

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-12.911.246

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 4-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jake Woodford • CHC: Keegan Thompson+137
L 8-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jon Lester • CHC: Adrian Sampson+133
L 12-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • CHC: Zach Davies+169
L 8-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: J.A. Happ • CHC: Justin Steele+132
L 5-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+102
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-13 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Connor Overton • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin+161
W 6-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Max Kranick • PHI: Hans Crouse+210
L 0-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Wil Crowe • PHI: Ranger Suarez+240
L 6-8 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Sam Howard • PHI: Kyle Gibson+201
L 6-12 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Connor Overton • PHI: Aaron Nola+240

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CRobinson Chirinos10-day IL
  • CWillson ContrerasRest
  • 3BPatrick WisdomUnknown
  • CFMichael Hermosillo60-day IL
  • 1BAlfonso Rivas10-day IL
  • RFJason HeywardOut for Season
  • SSNico HoernerUnknown
  • PKeegan ThompsonOut for Season
  • PManuel Rodriguez10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesRest
  • CJacob StallingsUnknown
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL
  • PBryse Wilson60-day IL
  • PLuis Oviedo10-day IL
  • 3BMichael Chavis10-day IL
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood60-day IL
  • PDillon Peters10-day IL
NNW 7 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)72°68°67°67°
Humidity61%67%63%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearClear
WindNNW 7 mphN 6 mphN 6 mphN 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+105--107-106-105-106-105+100.9
Pirates-115--113-104-105-104-104-100.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100-106-102-105-102-105-102+100.9
Pirates-110-104-108-105-108-105-104-100.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -102 to -110
Pirates ML moved from +100 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -107
No Steam Moves On Pirates ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-205-+1½-220+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-192
Pirates-1½+175--1½+180-1½+180-1½+180-1½+180-1½+180-1½+192
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-204+1½-210+1½-205+1½-215+1½-210+1½-200+1½-200+1½-192
Pirates-1½+180-1½+180-1½+181-1½+185-1½+180-1½+175-1½+185-1½+192

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105-o8½-115o8½-114o8½-114o8½-114o8½-114o8½-101
Underu9-115-u8½-105u8½-106u8½-106u8½-106u8½-105u8½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-115o8½-112o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-112o8½-101
Underu9-120u8½-105u8½-108u8½-100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o8½-110
No Steam Moves On Under