Phillies at Marlins

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
45.8%54.2%
Phillies WinMarlins Win
4.29Projected Runs 4.72
2Final Score 1
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Kyle Gibson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-65.351.53

Sandy Alcantara (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-23.01.19

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 2-8 at Toronto Blue JaysPHI: Zack Wheeler • TOR: Ross Stripling+115
L 3-4 at Toronto Blue JaysPHI: Andrew Bellatti • TOR: Jose Berrios+169
L 1-6 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Aaron Nola • STL: Miles Mikolas-122
L 3-4 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Nick Nelson • STL: Andre Pallante+110
W 1-0 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Kyle Gibson • STL: Dakota Hudson+115
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Zach Thompson • MIA: Braxton Garrett-148
W 4-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • MIA: Pablo Lopez-168
L 3-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Chris Stratton • MIA: Daniel Castano-150
L 5-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • MIA: Trevor Rogers-162
W 2-0 at New York MetsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • NYM: Taijuan Walker-102

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PDamon Jones60-day IL
  • PRanger SuarezUnknown
  • 3BJohan Camargo10-day IL
  • PZach EflinUnknown
  • DHBryce Harper10-day IL
  • 3BAlec BohmOut

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PLouis HeadUnknown
  • 3BJon Berti10-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
ESE 18 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°81°81°81°
Humidity77%81%79%88%
Precipitation13%31%13%9%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyRain and HumidHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindESE 18 mphE 16 mphE 13 mphE 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+120+155+153+162+160+162+162+165.5
Marlins-130-165-185-176-175-176-165-165.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+142+166+154+152+164+161+166+165.5
Marlins-155-181-169-180-180-172-169-165.5

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Phillies: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +158 to +152
Marlins ML moved from -173 to -181

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Phillies: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Phillies ML
Marlins ML moved from -172 to -178

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-185+1½-155+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-138
Marlins-1½+160-1½+135-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+135-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-170+1½-155+1½-150+1½-145+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138
Marlins-1½+150-1½+135-1½+131-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7+105o6½-115o6½-116o6½-116o6½-116o6½-115o6½-104
Underu7+100u7-125u6½-105u6½-104u6½-104u6½-104u7-125u6½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-105o6½-115o7+110o7+105o6½-115o6½-110o6½-110o6½-104
Underu7-115u6½-105u7-130u7-125u6½-105u6½-110u7-125u6½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+110 to o6½-120
The Under moved from u6½+100 to u6½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-105 to o7-120
The Under moved from u7-125 to u7-130