Brewers at Mets

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
41.1%58.9%
Brewers WinMets Win
3.16Projected Runs 4.10
3Final Score 4
Rank17
R/G3.8
RA/G4.0
Rank7
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
Rank17
R/G3.8
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-12.111.022

Jacob deGrom (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-22.380.956

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 2-4 at New York MetsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • NYM: Tylor Megill-124
L 0-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Tyler Anderson-183
W 11-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Eric Lauer • PIT: Cody Ponce-144
W 7-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Adrian Houser • PIT: JT Brubaker-114
W 7-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Corbin Burnes • PIT: Wil Crowe-237
New York Mets
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • NYM: Tylor Megill+120
L 2-4 at New York YankeesNYM: Corey Oswalt • NYY: Nestor Cortes+140
W 10-5 at New York YankeesNYM: Marcus Stroman • NYY: Gerrit Cole+160
W 8-3 at New York YankeesNYM: Taijuan Walker • NYY: Jordan Montgomery+142
L 3-4 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Jacob deGrom • ATL: Ian Anderson-163

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 1BDaniel Vogelbach10-day IL
  • 3BTravis Shaw60-day IL
  • 2BKolten Wong10-day IL
  • PCorbin BurnesUnknown

New York Mets

Status
  • PSean Reid-Foley10-day IL
  • PCorey Oswalt10-day IL
  • CJames McCannRest
  • 3BJ.D. Davis60-day IL
  • PRobert Gsellman60-day IL
  • PJoey LucchesiOut for Season
  • CFKevin PillarRest
  • PDavid Peterson10-day IL
SW 10 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
To RightSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)92°93°92°90°
Humidity48%47%49%55%
Precipitation0%0%1%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 10 mphSW 11 mphSSW 11 mphSSW 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+152+150-+161+160+161+161-
Mets-177-173--175-175-175-173-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+148+152+150+155+157+155+157-
Mets-163-165-165-170-172-165-165-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Brewers: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +155 to +148
Mets ML moved from -167 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Brewers ML
Mets ML moved from -163 to -169

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-180+1½-180-+1½-173+1½-173+1½-173+1½-173-
Mets-1½+155-1½+155--1½+153-1½+153-1½+153-1½+155-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-180+1½-180+1½-177+1½-180+1½-170+1½-185+1½-170-
Mets-1½+160-1½+160-1½+157-1½+160-1½+150-1½+165-1½+165-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4½-110o4½-110-o4½-110o4½-110o4½-110o4½-110-
Underu4½-110u4½-110-u4½-110u4½-110u4½-110u4½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo5-105o4½-115o5+123o4½-115o4½-120o4½-110o5+123-
Underu5-115u4½-105u5-143u4½-105u4½+100u4½-110u4½-100-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o4½-116 to o4½-125
The Under moved from u4½+100 to u4½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u4½+100 to u4½-110