Orioles at Red Sox

Updated

Baltimore Orioles

(38-81)
Rank29
R/G4.0
RA/G5.9
30.3%69.7%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
3.84Projected Runs 5.84
6Final Score 8

Boston Red Sox

(69-54)
Rank9
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5
Rank29
R/G4.0
RA/G5.9
Rank9
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Alexander Wells (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Nathan Eovaldi (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-23.721.2

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 3-9 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Zac Lowther • BOS: Nick Pivetta+248
L 1-7 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Keegan Akin • BOS: Chris Sale+300
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jordan Montgomery • BAL: Chris Ellis+205
L 4-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Nestor Cortes • BAL: John Means+150
L 7-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BAL: Alexander Wells+292
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-9 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Zac Lowther • BOS: Nick Pivetta-278
W 1-7 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Keegan Akin • BOS: Chris Sale-314
W 9-4 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Tanner Houck • SEA: Marco Gonzales-124
W 8-4 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • SEA: Tyler Anderson-135
L 4-5 at Seattle MarinersBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • SEA: Logan Gilbert-118

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • SSJorge Mateo60-day IL
  • PTanner Scott10-day IL
  • PMatt HarveyOut for Season
  • PJorge LopezOut for Season
  • SSRamon UriasUnknown
  • 3BMaikel FrancoRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFDanny Santana10-day IL
  • CFYairo Munoz10-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoOut
  • PPhillips Valdez10-day IL
  • SSJonathan Arauz10-day IL
  • 2BJarren Duran10-day IL
  • 1BKyle SchwarberRest
ENE 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)72°73°72°71°
Humidity50%47%46%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 5 mphENE 4 mphENE 6 mphNE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+279-+255+287+265+287+287+292.0
Red Sox-315--320-325-325-325-325-292.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+260+280+281+290+295+285+295+292.0
Red Sox-315-340-315-350-370-330-315-292.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +275 to +266
Red Sox ML moved from -320 to -335

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Orioles: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +292 to +281
Red Sox ML moved from -310 to -330

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½+150-+1½+145+1½+146+1½+146+1½+146+1½+146+1½+150
Red Sox-1½-175--1½-170-1½-166-1½-166-1½-166-1½-166-1½-150
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½+150+1½+150+1½+143+1½+150+1½+155+1½+145+1½+155+1½+150
Red Sox-1½-170-1½-170-1½-162-1½-170-1½-175-1½-165-1½-162-1½-150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-115-o9½-115o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-115o9½-107
Underu10-105-u9½-105u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½+100o9½-120o9½-112o9½-120o9½-115o9½-115o9½-112o9½-107
Underu10½-120u9½+100u9½-108u9½+100u9½-105u9½-105u9½+100u9½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-110
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