Nationals at Reds

Updated
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8
43.7%56.3%
Nationals WinReds Win
4.29Projected Runs 4.96
3Final Score 2
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
112-74.661.569

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-63.211.229

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 7-5 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Josiah Gray • MIA: Elieser Hernandez+122
W 7-1 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Josh Rogers • MIA: Trevor Rogers+134
L 7-8 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Erick Fedde • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-105
W 0-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Jon Gray • WSN: Paolo Espino-104
L 6-0 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • WSN: Patrick Corbin-122
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 6-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Tyler Mahle-210
W 5-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Dillon Peters • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-157
L 8-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • CIN: Wade Miley+176
L 5-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Max Scherzer • CIN: Sonny Gray+200
W 1-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Walker Buehler • CIN: Luis Castillo+160

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PKyle McGowin60-day IL
  • LFYadiel HernandezOut
  • LFGerardo Parra10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
  • CFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
  • PTejay Antone60-day IL
WNW 8 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)65°62°60°58°
Humidity52%58%63%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClearClear
WindWNW 8 mphWNW 6 mphW 5 mphNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+179-+165+181+177+181+181+187.0
Reds-195--200-197-197-197-197-187.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+185+180+171+180+181+171+181+187.0
Reds-205-200-189-200-200-186-186-187.0

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +181 to +171
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-115-+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-104
Reds-1½-105--1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-115+1½-115+1½-117+1½-115+1½-115+1½-130+1½-115+1½-104
Reds-1½-105-1½-105-1½-101-1½-105-1½-105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115-o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9+106
Underu8½-105-u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o9-105o9+106
Underu8½-105u9-115u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u9-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u9-115