Padres at Pirates

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.7
RA/G4.0
62.7%37.3%
Padres WinPirates Win
5.34Projected Runs 4.00
9Final Score 4
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
Rank11
R/G4.7
RA/G4.0
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1

Pitching

Dylan Cease (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-12.911.246

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 3-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Landen Roupp • SDP: Mike King-130
W 4-7 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • SDP: Nick Pivetta+107
L 4-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zack Littell • SDP: Randy Vasquez+107
L 4-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • SDP: Dylan Cease-135
L 1-0 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane Baz • SDP: Mike King-142
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 8-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Colin Rea • PIT: Paul Skenes-120
W 3-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Matthew Boyd • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+158
L 9-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • PIT: Andrew Heaney+140
L 2-9 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Bailey Falter • LAD: Tyler Glasnow+290
L 4-8 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Mitch Keller • LAD: Roki Sasaki+240

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PBryan Hoeing15-day IL
  • PJhony Brito60-day IL
  • PMatt Waldron60-day IL
  • PJoe Musgrove60-day IL
  • PSean Reynolds15-day IL
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL
  • LFBrandon LockridgeUnknown
  • CFJackson Merrill10-day IL
  • 1BJake Cronenworth10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
  • -Colin Holderman15-day IL
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • CEndy Rodriguez10-day IL
  • PDauri Moreta60-day IL
  • -Tim Mayza60-day IL
  • PJohan Oviedo60-day IL
WSW 12 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To LeftModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°71°68°64°
Humidity60%63%67%78%
Precipitation64%32%36%23%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 12 mphW 11 mphWSW 6 mphSSE 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-130--136-130--130-130-
Pirates+118-+114+118-+118+118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-135-135-130-135-141-130-130-
Pirates+115+120+117+115+126+120+126-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -153 to -162
Pirates ML moved from +126 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -151 to -164
Pirates ML moved from +128 to +120

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+115--1½+130-1½+125--1½+125-1½+130-
Pirates+1½-135-+1½-150+1½-145-+1½-145+1½-145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+122-1½+115-1½+125-1½+125-
Pirates+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-135+1½-145+1½-135-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115-o8½-105o8-123-o8-123o8½-105-
Underu8-105-u8½-115u8+103-u8+103u8+103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-120o8-118o8-115o8-110o8-115o8-110-
Underu8-105u8+100u8-102u8-105u8-110u8-105u8+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8-112 to u8-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120