Twins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.6
RA/G5.2
40.7%59.3%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
5.34Projected Runs 6.31
5Final Score 4
Rank9
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5
Rank20
R/G4.6
RA/G5.2
Rank9
R/G5.0
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-54.731.22

Garrett Crochet (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 4-3 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Bailey Ober • BOS: Hunter Dobbins+115
L 1-7 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Brayan Bello+106
L 3-4 at Cleveland IndiansMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Ben Lively-117
L 2-4 at Cleveland IndiansMIN: Pablo Lopez • CLE: Luis Ortiz+102
L 1-2 at Cleveland IndiansMIN: Chris Paddack • CLE: Tanner Bibee+118
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • BOS: Hunter Dobbins-119
W 1-7 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Brayan Bello-115
L 2-4 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Tanner Houck • TOR: Jose Berrios-109
L 6-7 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Lucas Giolito • TOR: Yariel Rodriguez-103
W 10-2 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Lucas Giolito • TOR: Bowden Francis-130

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PRich HillOut
  • 2BLuke Keaschall10-day IL
  • RFMatt Wallner10-day IL
  • LFWilli Castro10-day IL
  • Royce Lewis10-day IL
  • PBrock Stewart15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PZach Penrod60-day IL
  • PWalker Buehler15-day IL
  • PChris Murphy60-day IL
  • PLiam Hendriks15-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida10-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford15-day IL
  • 1BTriston CasasOut
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
SW 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°75°71°69°
Humidity58%59%62%66%
Precipitation0%7%18%36%
ConditionCloudyPartly CloudyCloudyDrizzle
WindSW 9 mphSE 10 mphSE 10 mphSE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+189-+171+175-+175+175-
Red Sox-210--211-195--195-195-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+185+170+173+170+175+170+175-
Red Sox-225-190-194-205-202-190-190-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +174 to +168
Red Sox ML moved from -202 to -211

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +180 to +170
Red Sox ML moved from -195 to -205

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-112-+1½-110+1½-115-+1½-115+1½-110-
Red Sox-1½-108--1½-110-1½-105--1½-105-1½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-115+1½-120+1½-120+1½-110+1½-115+1½-125+1½-110-
Red Sox-1½-105-1½+100-1½+100-1½-110-1½-105-1½+105-1½+105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120-o8½-125o8½-119-o8½-119o8½-119-
Underu8+100-u8½+105u8½-101-u8½-101u8½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115-
Underu8+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u9-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8½-115
No Steam Moves On Under