Phillies at Twins

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
55.2%44.8%
Phillies WinTwins Win
4.72Projected Runs 4.17
4Final Score 5
Rank20
R/G4.6
RA/G5.2
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
Rank20
R/G4.6
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-53.281.079

Steven Okert (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 3-0 at Minnesota TwinsPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIN: Simeon Woods-Richardson-142
L 2-7 at Minnesota TwinsPHI: Ranger Suarez • MIN: Bailey Ober-110
W 6-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Tyler Phillips • PIT: Marco Gonzales-116
L 1-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • PIT: Luis Ortiz-155
L 7-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Aaron Nola • PIT: Martin Perez-162
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIN: Simeon Woods-Richardson+135
W 2-7 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • MIN: Bailey Ober+103
L 8-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Civale • MIN: Joe Ryan-155
L 8-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • MIN: Pablo Lopez-118
L 2-3 at San Francisco GiantsMIN: Chris Paddack • SFG: Blake Snell+145

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PSpencer Turnbull15-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 3BRoyce Lewis10-day IL
  • 3BJose Miranda10-day IL
  • PKody Funderburk15-day IL
  • SSCarlos Correa10-day IL
  • PRich HillOut
  • 3BKyle Farmer10-day IL
  • PChris Paddack15-day IL
ENE 5 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)73°76°77°79°
Humidity64%59%55%52%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindENE 5 mphENE 5 mphENE 5 mphENE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-150--132-126--126-126-
Twins+138-+110+116-+116+116-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-148-127-128--127-128-127-
Twins+130+117+117-+117+118+118-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -140 to -148
Twins ML moved from +117 to +111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Phillies ML
Twins ML moved from +125 to +117

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+110--1½+125-1½+125--1½+127-1½+127-
Twins+1½-130-+1½-145+1½-145-+1½-147+1½-145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+111-1½+130-1½+128--1½+120-1½+130-1½+130-
Twins+1½-131+1½-150+1½-146-+1½-140+1½-150+1½-140-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115-o8-110o8-110-o8-110o8-110-
Underu8-105-u8-110u8-110-u8-110u8-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8+100o7½-120-o8-110o7½-115o7½-115-
Underu8-105u8-120u7½+100-u8-110u7½-105u8-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+105 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-110