Phillies at Nationals

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
56.1%43.9%
Phillies WinNationals Win
4.63Projected Runs 3.98
2Final Score 1
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-53.281.079

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 8-7 at Washington NationalsPHI: Bailey Falter • WSN: Paolo Espino-110
W 5-3 at Washington NationalsPHI: Ranger Suarez • WSN: Joan Adon-170
W 10-1 at Washington NationalsPHI: Zack Wheeler • WSN: Patrick Corbin-195
W 1-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Daniel Castano • PHI: Kyle Gibson-153
L 11-9 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • PHI: Zach Eflin-140
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 8-7 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Bailey Falter • WSN: Paolo Espino+105
L 5-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • WSN: Joan Adon+171
L 10-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • WSN: Patrick Corbin+189
L 8-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • WSN: Erick Fedde+205
L 10-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • WSN: Jackson Tetreault+247

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • SSNick Maton10-day IL
  • 2BJean Segura60-day IL
  • 3BJohan Camargo10-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PVictor AranoUnknown
  • PJosh RogersUnknown
  • PStephen StrasburgUnknown
  • SSAlcides Escobar10-day IL
NW 12 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°76°74°73°
Humidity39%36%39%40%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 12 mphNW 12 mphNW 13 mphNNW 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-225-154-170-155-155-155-154-149.4
Nationals+205+144+141+143+143+143+144+149.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-230-160-164-155-160-160-155-149.4
Nationals+205+150+149+145+146+150+150+149.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -185 to -192
Nationals ML moved from +153 to +144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Phillies ML
Nationals ML moved from +155 to +146

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½-135-1½+105-1½-110-1½-102-1½-102-1½-102-1½+105-1½+109
Nationals+1½+115+1½-125+1½-110+1½-118+1½-118+1½-118+1½-110+1½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½-130-1½-115-1½-102-1½-105-1½-110-1½-105-1½-102-1½+109
Nationals+1½+110+1½-105+1½-116+1½-115+1½-110+1½-115+1½-105+1½-109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8-120o8-105o8-120o8-108o8-120o8-105o8-104
Underu9-110u8+100u8-115u8+100u8-112u8+100u8+100u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-100o8-120o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-120o8-110o8-104
Underu9-120u8+100u8-105u8-110u8-110u8+100u8+100u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-120