Nationals at Reds

Updated
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8
43.7%56.3%
Nationals WinReds Win
4.10Projected Runs 4.76
5Final Score 4
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
112-74.661.569

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-63.211.229

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 10-8 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Erick Fedde • CIN: Tyler Mahle+121
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Josiah Gray • CIN: Mike Minor+120
L 1-8 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Joan Adon • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+116
L 0-5 at New York MetsWSN: Evan Lee • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+216
L 0-10 at New York MetsWSN: Patrick Corbin • NYM: Trevor Williams+178
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 10-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • CIN: Tyler Mahle-128
L 8-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • CIN: Mike Minor-125
W 1-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Joan Adon • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-120
L 1-7 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Hunter Greene • BOS: Garrett Whitlock+190
W 2-1 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Luis Castillo • BOS: Michael Wacha+136

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PMason Thompson60-day IL
  • SSAlcides Escobar10-day IL
  • CFVictor RoblesRest
  • Dee Strange-GordonOut
  • PJosh RogersUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • PConnor Overton60-day IL
  • 2BDonovan Solano60-day IL
  • RFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • 3BMike MoustakasRest
  • PVladimir GutierrezUnknown
  • PNick LodoloOut
SE 6 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
InNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°83°84°85°
Humidity43%40%40%40%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSE 6 mphSE 6 mphSE 7 mphSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+120+161+153+161+160+161+161+165.5
Reds-130-171-185-175-175-175-171-165.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+143+165+163+160+161+163+165+165.5
Reds-156-180-180-175-177-176-175-165.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +165 to +157
Reds ML moved from -172 to -179

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Reds ML moved from -170 to -176

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-160+1½-130+1½-125+1½-121+1½-121+1½-121+1½-121+1½-114
Reds-1½+140-1½+110-1½+105-1½+101-1½+101-1½+101-1½+110-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-150+1½-135+1½-124+1½-115+1½-125+1½-125+1½-115+1½-114
Reds-1½+130-1½+115-1½+106-1½-105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+115-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9½-120o10-110o9½-122o9½-122o9½-122o9½-120o9½-109
Underu9-120u9½+100u10-110u9½+102u9½+102u9½+102u10-110u9½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o10-110o10+100o10+100o10-115o10-105o10+100o9½-109
Underu9-105u10-110u10-120u10-120u10-105u10-115u10-105u9½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u10-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-120 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10+100 to u10-110