Upcoming Games for September 30, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets (60-60) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Tylor Megill Spencer Schwellenbach | 44.1% 55.9% | +132 -144 +138 -147 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+146 | 4.12 4.74 | 8.86 | o7½-118 u7½-102 o7½-110 u7½-105 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Undecided Undecided Undecided Undecided | 44.1% 55.9% | 4.12 4.74 | 8.86 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics Kansas City Royals | 53.0% 47.0% | +161 -176 +155 -168 | +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+120 | 4 8 | -0.47053-0.48587 | -0.75555 | |
| Minnesota Twins Cleveland Indians | 46.9% 53.1% | +102 -112 +100 -110 | +1½-205 -1½+180 +1½-210 -1½+188 | 2 5 | -0.66116-0.67015 | -0.63241 | |
| New York Mets Miami Marlins | 52.9% 47.1% | -142 +132 -131 +128 | -1½+120 +1½-137 -1½+120 +1½-133 | 7 3 | -0.55076-0.57290 | -0.63662 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays | 49.1% 50.9% | +102 -112 +101 -110 | +1½-195 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 2 5 | -0.66116-0.66771 | -0.67478 | |
| Seattle Mariners Baltimore Orioles | 50.3% 49.7% | +132 -144 +134 -141 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 3 6 | -0.54834-0.54837 | -0.69921 | |
| Chicago White Sox New York Yankees | 46.0% 54.0% | +274 -315 +264 -280 | +1½+133 -1½-150 +1½+133 -1½-145 | 2 7 | -0.30178-0.31689 | -0.61533 | |
| Washington Nationals Philadelphia Phillies | 29.4% 70.6% | +195 -217 +205 -225 | +1½-110 -1½-108 +1½-109 -1½-109 | 5 11 | -0.40226-0.38769 | -0.34815 | |
| Boston Red Sox St. Louis Cardinals | 45.7% 54.3% | -127 +117 -122 +116 | -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+135 +1½-148 | 11 3 | -0.60086-0.61109 | -0.78412 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Los Angeles Dodgers | 37.9% 62.1% | +168 -184 +170 -185 | +1½-124 -1½+105 +1½-120 -1½+107 | 0 4 | -0.45484-0.45144 | -0.47621 | |
| Detroit Tigers Arizona Diamondbacks | 47.1% 52.9% | +123 -134 +130 -135 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 8 3 | -0.82287-0.84211 | -0.75326 | |
| Boston Red Sox St. Louis Cardinals | 52.0% 48.0% | -116 +106 -113 +105 | -1½+140 +1½-158 -1½+140 +1½-157 | 2 7 | -0.74492-0.73601 | -0.73384 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Texas Rangers | 51.3% 48.7% | +117 -127 +123 -126 | +1½-176 -1½+156 +1½-165 -1½+160 | 2 3 | -0.60086-0.59019 | -0.71941 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Houston Astros | 36.7% 63.3% | +159 -174 +159 -168 | +1½-135 -1½+120 +1½-130 -1½+120 | 4 2 | -0.97257-0.96454 | -1.00215 | |
| Oakland Athletics Kansas City Royals | 55.5% 44.5% | +175 -192 +177 -193 | +1½-117 -1½+100 +1½-109 -1½+100 | 3 5 | -0.44021-0.43700 | -0.80876 | |
| Seattle Mariners Baltimore Orioles | 55.5% 44.5% | +122 -133 +125 -127 | +1½-192 -1½+170 | 4 3 | -0.81855-0.81484 | -0.58843 | |
| Washington Nationals Philadelphia Phillies | 34.2% 65.8% | +150 -164 +155 -167 | +1½-148 -1½+135 +1½-135 -1½+130 | 3 4 | -0.49707-0.48673 | -0.41790 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 14 | 8-5 (0.607) | 1 | -0.66711 | |
| Sportsbooks | 14 | 9-5 (0.643) | 0 | -0.67096 | |
| DRatings | 14 | 6-8 (0.429) | 0 | -0.75835 | -0.09123 -0.08739 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.