Upcoming Games for October 1, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers (58-64) Houston Astros (70-50) | Tarik Skubal Framber Valdez | 34.7% 65.3% | +135 -147 +136 -140 | +1½-185 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 3.34 4.92 | 8.26 | o6½+100 u6½-110 o6½+100 u6+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Cole Ragans Corbin Burnes | 47.6% 52.4% | +140 -153 +138 -146 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-173 -1½+155 | 4.37 4.62 | 8.99 | o7+103 u7-120 o7+105 u6½+100 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Luis Severino Freddy Peralta | 47.2% 52.8% | +128 -139 +127 -135 | +1½-185 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 4.50 4.80 | 9.30 | o7½-105 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-115 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Undecided Undecided Mike King | 47.9% 52.1% | +133 -145 +135 -142 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 4.26 4.48 | 8.74 | o7+105 u7-125 o7+105 u7-115 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres Chicago Cubs | 55.5% 44.5% | +150 -164 +160 -165 | +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-135 -1½+125 | 2 3 | -0.49707-0.48102 | -0.81038 | |
| Boston Red Sox Atlanta Braves | 51.0% 49.0% | +164 -179 +170 -175 | +1½-130 -1½+111 +1½-125 -1½+115 | 2 4 | -0.46399-0.45869 | -0.71257 | |
| Houston Astros New York Yankees | 56.2% 43.8% | +109 -119 +113 -119 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-178 -1½+170 | 3 10 | -0.63156-0.62273 | -0.82659 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Pittsburgh Pirates | 53.1% 46.9% | +124 -135 +122 -127 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 9 0 | -0.82716-0.80737 | -0.63360 | |
| Chicago White Sox Tampa Bay Rays | 46.2% 53.8% | +232 -263 +233 -250 | +1½+115 -1½-125 +1½+110 -1½-123 | 1 5 | -0.34764-0.35095 | -0.62047 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Washington Nationals | 53.0% 47.0% | -208 +188 -210 +193 | -1½-135 +1½+115 -1½-130 +1½+120 | 0 3 | -1.08008-1.09354 | -0.75413 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Philadelphia Phillies | 50.3% 49.7% | +101 -111 +107 -112 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+185 | 1 10 | -0.66563-0.64942 | -0.69860 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Cincinnati Reds | 41.7% 58.3% | -130 +120 -126 +118 | -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+127 +1½-145 | 6 2 | -0.59012-0.60037 | -0.87565 | |
| Detroit Tigers Cleveland Indians | 43.3% 56.7% | +126 -137 +130 -135 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 11 7 | -0.83570-0.84211 | -0.83792 | |
| Texas Rangers Oakland Athletics | 35.8% 64.2% | -119 +109 -117 +110 | -1½+138 +1½-158 -1½+140 +1½-148 | 15 8 | -0.63156-0.63297 | -1.02678 | |
| Miami Marlins Los Angeles Dodgers | 33.4% 66.6% | +275 -317 +290 -325 | +1½+140 -1½-154 +1½+145 -1½-155 | 3 6 | -0.30069-0.28916 | -0.40614 | |
| Texas Rangers Oakland Athletics | 37.5% 62.5% | -135 +124 -134 +130 | -1½+127 +1½-145 -1½+131 +1½-145 | 4 2 | -0.57499-0.56488 | -0.98016 | |
| New York Mets St. Louis Cardinals | 53.1% 46.9% | +118 -128 +121 -130 | +1½-176 -1½+156 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 4 3 | -0.79924-0.81054 | -0.63292 | |
| Seattle Mariners Minnesota Twins | 47.7% 52.3% | -125 +115 -120 +115 | -1½+134 +1½-150 -1½+145 +1½-155 | 1 3 | -0.78592-0.77596 | -0.64886 | |
| San Diego Padres Chicago Cubs | 59.3% 40.7% | -101 -109 +100 -109 | +1½-212 -1½+182 +1½-210 -1½+185 | 6 3 | -0.71192-0.71445 | -0.52226 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Kansas City Royals | 56.6% 43.4% | +124 -135 +124 -130 | +1½-165 -1½+148 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 2 3 | -0.57499-0.58212 | -0.83370 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.57686 | |
| Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.58755 | |
| DRatings | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.70005 | -0.12320 -0.11250 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.