MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Nov 4, 2024
Games for Nov 6, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
37.4%
62.6%
+130
-142
+131
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+148
8
10
-0.55443-0.55511-0.46877
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
44.3%
55.7%
+130
-139
+133
-135
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
4
2
-0.84915-0.84952-0.81376
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
50.3%
49.7%
+142
-155
+140
-149
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+146
1
8
-0.51869-0.52846-0.69892
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
55.7%
44.3%
-178
+163
-171
+158
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½+100
1
2
-0.98730-0.96622-0.81394
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
41.3%
58.7%
-117
+107
-114
+109
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
2
1
-0.63974-0.64090-0.88387
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
42.6%
57.4%
-183
+167
-174
+172
-1½-120
+1½+102
-1½-118
+1½+110
2
4
-1.00302-1.00332-0.55521
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
40.7%
59.3%
+113
-123
+111
-117
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-190
-1½+170
2
11
-0.61582-0.63074-0.52253
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
-142
+130
-140
+133
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
4
2
-0.55443-0.55144-0.70302
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
39.5%
60.5%
+103
-113
+106
-112
+1½-205
-1½+185
-1½+180
+1½-190
3
6
-0.65676-0.65174-0.50302
Washington Nationals
Boston Red Sox
32.9%
67.1%
+186
-205
+190
-206
+1½-110
-1½-109
+1½-110
-1½-105
5
1
-1.07236-1.08258-1.11179
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
57.8%
42.2%
-188
+172
-185
+176
-1½-124
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+117
8
2
-0.44674-0.44351-0.54896
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
41.5%
58.5%
+103
-113
+103
-110
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+190
3
2
-0.73091-0.72433-0.87866
Arizona Diamondbacks
Baltimore Orioles
47.9%
52.1%
+119
-129
+125
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
4
-0.59365-0.58016-0.65224
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
44.8%
55.2%
-125
+115
-121
+120
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
2
0
-0.60825-0.60444-0.80310
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
61.0%
39.0%
-145
+133
-140
+135
-1½+115
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-130
5
2
-0.54531-0.54782-0.49348
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.9%
47.1%
+113
-123
+118
-124
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+176
7
2
-0.77696-0.79153-0.63745
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.