MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
45.8%
54.2%
+130
-143
+128
-138
+1½-156
-1½+136
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
2
-0.85590-0.84244-0.78043
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
50.2%
49.8%
-180
+162
-180
+168
-1½-115
+1½+104
-1½-115
+1½+100
4
5
-0.98741-1.00169-0.69802
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
51.5%
48.5%
+140
-155
+141
-155
+1½-151
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+140
0
4
-0.52206-0.52037-0.72453
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
35.8%
64.2%
-136
+123
-135
+125
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
3
4
-0.82640-0.82968-0.44342
Tampa Bay Rays
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.9%
43.1%
+128
-141
+124
-130
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-178
-1½+160
7
4
-0.84756-0.81805-0.56345
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels
37.6%
62.4%
+144
-159
+147
-159
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+126
3
4
-0.51139-0.50650-0.47205
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
40.1%
59.9%
+112
-123
+112
-117
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+175
2
1
-0.77442-0.76222-0.91432
Colorado Rockies
Kansas City Royals
48.3%
51.7%
+165
-183
+175
-190
+1½-119
-1½-101
+1½-120
-1½+104
2
6
-0.45969-0.44150-0.66064
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
46.1%
53.9%
+141
-156
+145
-155
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
6
-0.51935-0.51371-0.61804
Colorado Rockies
Kansas City Royals
51.6%
48.4%
+257
-290
+287
-300
+1½+124
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-135
4
7
-0.31970-0.29605-0.72627
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
40.9%
59.1%
+155
-172
+160
-170
+1½-130
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+120
4
3
-0.96029-0.96964-0.89458
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
54.2%
45.8%
+189
-210
+205
-220
+1½-120
-1½+101
+1½-110
-1½-105
3
0
-1.08441-1.13038-0.61267
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
35.8%
64.2%
-101
-109
+105
-113


2
5
-0.67472-0.65204-0.44342
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
43.5%
56.5%
+129
-142
+130
-138
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+165
2
4
-0.55629-0.55953-0.57095
Tampa Bay Rays
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.5%
39.5%
+138
-152
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
7
6
-0.89016-0.90892-0.50332
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels
37.6%
62.4%
+124
-133
+120
-125
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
0
-0.82357-0.79851-0.97742
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.