Upcoming Games for October 2, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers (58-64) Houston Astros (70-50) | Tyler Holton Hunter Brown | 34.3% 65.7% | +159 -174 +158 -168 | +1½-144 -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 3.37 5.00 | 8.37 | o7½+100 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-110 | |||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Seth Lugo Zach Eflin | 51.2% 48.8% | +132 -144 +138 -145 | +1½-160 -1½+148 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 5.08 4.95 | 10.03 | o7½+100 u7½-115 o7½+105 u7½-120 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Sean Manaea Frankie Montas | 42.9% 57.1% | +105 -115 +105 -113 | +1½-198 -1½+180 +1½-205 -1½+181 | 3.92 4.66 | 8.58 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o7½-115 u7½-105 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Max Fried Joe Musgrove | 53.2% 46.8% | +101 -111 +105 -112 | +1½-220 -1½+190 +1½-220 -1½+195 | 3.80 3.46 | 7.26 | o6½-117 u6½+100 o6½-115 u6½+100 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals Chicago White Sox | 39.6% 60.4% | -175 +160 -176 +166 | -1½-119 +1½+105 -1½-118 +1½+105 | 4 2 | -0.47276-0.46345 | -0.92510 | |
| Texas Rangers Detroit Tigers | 46.8% 53.2% | +130 -142 +133 -142 | +1½-169 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 5 4 | -0.85426-0.86171 | -0.75954 | |
| San Diego Padres Milwaukee Brewers | 44.5% 55.5% | -101 -109 +102 -110 | 0 1 | -0.67472-0.66532 | -0.58965 | ||
| Pittsburgh Pirates New York Mets | 36.8% 63.2% | +136 -147 +140 -148 | +1½-163 -1½+143 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 1 9 | -0.53765-0.52957 | -0.45828 | |
| Minnesota Twins Baltimore Orioles | 54.6% 45.4% | +105 -115 +106 -114 | +1½-200 -1½+177 | 2 4 | -0.64814-0.64777 | -0.78983 | |
| San Francisco Giants Miami Marlins | 61.8% 38.2% | -108 -102 -107 +102 | -1½+151 +1½-165 | 3 1 | -0.67930-0.67178 | -0.48114 | |
| Washington Nationals Los Angeles Dodgers | 36.2% 63.8% | +240 -265 +250 -270 | +1½+125 -1½-138 +1½+130 -1½-138 | 2 6 | -0.34011-0.33041 | -0.44964 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Oakland Athletics | 41.8% 58.2% | -135 +124 -134 +127 | -1½+119 +1½-135 -1½+120 +1½-135 | 3 2 | -0.57499-0.57058 | -0.87285 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Seattle Mariners | 50.4% 49.6% | +122 -133 +123 -130 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-186 -1½+170 | 1 3 | -0.58173-0.58410 | -0.70148 | |
| Chicago Cubs Arizona Diamondbacks | 54.4% 45.6% | +106 -116 +112 -115 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+163 | 11 12 | -0.64392-0.63228 | -0.78454 | |
| Atlanta Braves Houston Astros | 34.4% 65.6% | -103 -107 -105 +100 | -1½+143 +1½-155 | 6 2 | -0.70249-0.68116 | -1.06700 | |
| San Diego Padres Milwaukee Brewers | 44.8% 55.2% | -113 +103 -112 +102 | -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+145 +1½-160 | 6 3 | -0.65676-0.66116 | -0.80379 | |
| Cleveland Indians Boston Red Sox | 40.6% 59.4% | +107 -117 +111 -116 | +1½-195 -1½+175 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 10 7 | -0.74957-0.75760 | -0.90084 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates New York Mets | 36.8% 63.2% | -101 -109 -102 -106 | +1½-215 -1½+185 +1½-220 -1½+197 | 1 3 | -0.67472-0.68377 | -0.45828 | |
| New York Yankees Toronto Blue Jays | 48.8% 51.2% | +104 -114 +106 -112 | +1½-195 -1½+180 | 4 5 | -0.65243-0.65174 | -0.66974 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays | 39.5% 60.5% | +130 -142 +137 -143 | +1½-169 -1½+149 +1½-160 -1½+153 | 6 7 | -0.55443-0.54058 | -0.50292 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 4 | 1-3 (0.250) | 0 | -0.74414 | |
| Sportsbooks | 4 | 1-3 (0.250) | 0 | -0.74997 | |
| DRatings | 4 | 1-3 (0.250) | 0 | -0.81268 | -0.06854 -0.06271 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.