MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
55.5%
44.5%
+126
-139
+131
-135
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-169
-1½+160
8
7
-0.83914-0.84460-0.58823
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
56.2%
43.8%
-102
-108
+104
-111
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
9
7
-0.70719-0.72909-0.57625
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
-101
-109
+103
-107


1
4
-0.67472-0.66935-0.55239
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+127
-140
+132
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
8
-0.56258-0.55979-0.56874
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
51.1%
48.9%
+127
-140
+130
-138
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+170
1
2
-0.56258-0.55953-0.71533
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
+146
-161
+155
-158
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
3
4
-0.50620-0.49492-0.86230
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
41.7%
58.3%
+102
-112
+101
-109
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+175
4
5
-0.66116-0.66984-0.53969
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.8%
38.2%
-166
+150
-161
+150
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-102
+1½-105
4
5
-0.94007-0.93300-0.96317
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
56.9%
43.1%
-122
+111
-125
+117
-1½+135
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-150
7
8
-0.76990-0.79098-0.84121
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
44.7%
55.3%
-172
+155
-174
+160
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½-106
+1½-105
4
5
-0.96029-0.97498-0.59247
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
44.3%
55.7%
-135
+126
-143
+135
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
4
10
-0.83218-0.86833-0.58576
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
39.2%
60.8%
+105
-116
+111
-114
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+195
1
4
-0.64623-0.63639-0.49737
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
50.7%
49.3%
-105
-105
-105
-102

-1½+155
+1½-160
7
4
-0.69315-0.68605-0.67995
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
39.8%
60.2%
+210
-230
+220
-237
+1½+106
-1½-125
+1½+118
-1½-125
4
0
-1.15078-1.17879-0.92183
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
51.1%
48.9%
+121
-133
+119
-122
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-190
-1½+175
2
3
-0.58372-0.60481-0.71482
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+111
-122
+113
-117
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
11
7
-0.76990-0.76475-0.83526
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.