MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Michael Wacha
Tanner Bibee
44.4%
55.6%
+107
-118
+110
-117
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
4.28
4.88
9.16
o7-117
u7+100
o7-115
u7½-120
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Brandon Williamson
Janson Junk
51.7%
48.3%
+118
-130
+115
-124
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.55
4.37
8.92
o8-118
u8+100
o8-110
u8+105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
German Marquez
Bubba Chandler
61.4%
38.6%
+122
-135
+125
-135
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+158
5.01
3.80
8.81
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Andre Pallante
Zack Littell
47.9%
52.1%
-108
-102
-111
+105
-1½+150
+1½-171
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.54
4.76
9.30
o8-120
u8½-115
o8-110
u8-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Brandon Woodruff
Brayan Bello
47.9%
52.1%
-118
+107
-115
+107
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+143
+1½-155
4.70
4.93
9.63
o8-110
u8-108
o8-110
u8-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Justin Wrobleski
Max Scherzer
52.4%
47.6%
-125
+113
-128
+126
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-135
4.79
4.54
9.33
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Brandon Young
Grant Taylor
33.3%
66.7%
-135
+122
-134
+125
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
4.33
6.06
10.39
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+105
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Casey Mize
Joe Ryan
40.8%
59.2%
+107
-118
+110
-119
+1½-207
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.44
5.41
9.85
o7-115
u7+100
o7-115
u7+100
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Logan Gilbert
Jacob deGrom
43.7%
56.3%
+101
-111
+104
-113
+1½-208
-1½+180
+1½-205
-1½+185
4.21
4.88
9.09
o7½-115
u8-115
o7½+100
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Cody Bolton
Ryan Feltner
57.1%
42.9%
-152
+138
-153
+158
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½+100
5.17
4.43
9.60
o10½-110
u10½-108
o10½-110
u10½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Chris Sale
Jose Soriano
50.4%
49.6%
-165
+149
-165
+155
-1½+101
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-115
4.78
4.75
9.53
o7½-118
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½+100
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Andrew Painter
Adrian Houser
42.6%
57.4%
-115
+104
-114
+105
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.02
4.79
8.81
o8-120
u8+100
o8-105
u8+100
Games for Apr 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
38.1%
61.9%
+109
-120
+112
-119
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
8.67
o7½-121
u8-115
o7½-120
u7½+100
3rd
BOT
2
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.7%
47.3%
+130
-142
+138
-143
+1½-150
-1½+139
+1½-150
-1½+135
1
3
-0.55443-0.53883-0.74864
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.3%
66.7%
+134
-146
+139
-146
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
6
3
-0.87079-0.88312-1.09850
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
48.0%
52.0%
-109
-101
-106
+100
-1½+147
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-155
3
2
-0.67472-0.67889-0.73364
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
58.2%
41.8%
+110
-120
+113
-119
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
7
3
-0.76336-0.76891-0.54123
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
42.4%
57.6%
+166
-179
+160
-165
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+117
0
6
-0.46119-0.48102-0.55156
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+176
-193
+181
-190
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
4
3
-1.03603-1.04418-0.83000
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
49.6%
50.4%
+120
-130
+120
-122
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+163
3
0
-0.80802-0.79255-0.70197
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
39.5%
60.5%
-213
+192
-230
+208
-1½-132
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+120
5
0
-0.40764-0.38243-0.92811
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
49.0%
51.0%
+230
-260
+225
-250
+1½+108
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-118
5
10
-0.35037-0.35820-0.67364
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
34.2%
65.8%
+122
-133
+124
-132
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+168
5
3
-0.81855-0.82175-1.07283
New York Mets
Toronto Blue Jays
42.6%
57.4%
-124
+114
-125
+115
-1½+131
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
2
6
-0.78145-0.78592-0.55483
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
36.4%
63.6%
+124
-135
+130
-137
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-156
-1½+140
5
0
-0.82716-0.84567-1.01013
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
49.0%
51.0%
-135
+124
-135
+129
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-140
12
0
-0.57499-0.56539-0.71408
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
51.0%
49.0%
+158
-173
+165
-175
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-140
-1½+125
4
9
-0.47726-0.46561-0.71325
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
49.5%
50.5%
+179
-197
+181
-190
+1½-121
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
0
11
-0.43201-0.43383-0.68322
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.7%
47.3%
+144
-157
+150
-158
+1½-149
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
4
6
-0.51336-0.50269-0.74864
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2 (0.000)0-1.05232 
Sportsbooks20-2 (0.000)0-1.04899 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.83035
0.22196
0.21864

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.