MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Andre Pallante
David Peterson
48.8%
51.2%
+111
-121
+115
-120

+1½-165
-1½+146
4.81
4.93
9.74

o10½-105
u10½-115
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mitch Keller
Foster Griffin
38.7%
61.3%
+125
-138
+125
-135
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+155
4.30
5.49
9.79
o9½-108
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Mike Paredes
Gerrit Cole
34.7%
65.3%
+155
-169
+155
-170
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+110
3.99
5.57
9.56
o9½-118
u9½+100
o9½-115
u9½-105
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
54.2%
45.8%
+122
-135
+122
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.82
4.39
9.21
o8½-105
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Trevor Rogers
Brady Singer
36.4%
63.6%
-121
+110
-118
+110
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-149
4.17
5.59
9.76
o10½+100
u10½-120
o9½-115
u9½-105
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Christian Scott
Grant Holmes
44.1%
55.9%
+112
-122
+112
-120

+1½-180
-1½+165
4.03
4.64
8.67
o9½+105
u9½-120
o9½+105
u9½-120
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Ryan Feltner
55.8%
44.2%




5.03
4.41
9.44


Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Spencer Arrighetti
45.4%
54.6%
-105
-105
-105
-105
+1½-220
-1½+186

3.89
4.37
8.26
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Jake Bennett
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
50.6%
49.4%
-103
-107
-105
-105
+1½-225
-1½+189
+1½-220
-1½+194
5.25
5.19
10.44
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Tyler Phillips
Jack Perkins
39.7%
60.3%
+109
-120
+111
-120
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+160
4.03
5.11
9.14
o10½-110
u10½-105
o10½-105
u10½+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Kyle Harrison
Jose Cabrera
59.8%
40.2%
-152
+140
-155
+145
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
4.75
3.72
8.47
o8½-120
u8½+102
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mike King
Shohei Ohtani
38.8%
61.2%
+205
-220
+200
-220
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
3.88
5.06
8.94
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Dylan Cease
Luis Castillo
52.6%
47.4%
-120
+109
-115
+105

-1½+145
+1½-164
4.88
4.61
9.49
o7-120
u7+100
o7-120
u7+100
Games for Jul 2, 2026
Games for Jul 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
48.2%
51.8%
-108
-102
-104
-103

+1½-235
-1½+200
9.48
o7½+100
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-115
8th
BOT
4
10
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
49.1%
50.9%
+192
-214
+196
-220
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
10.25
o7½+105
u7+100
o7-115
u7+100
6th
BOT
0
0
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
41.5%
58.5%
+186
-207
+180
-185
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-105
8.62
o9-120
u9½-115
o9-125
u9½-110
3rd
TOP
6
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
48.6%
51.4%
-166
+152
-164
+152
-1½-117
+1½+100
-1½-114
+1½-104
8
9
-0.94492-0.94212-0.66516
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
36.2%
63.8%
+102
-112
+108
-109
+1½-193
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
5
3
-0.72619-0.73466-1.01514
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+114
-124
+115
-123
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+169
4
3
-0.78145-0.78202-0.83526
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
32.7%
67.3%
+104
-114
+108
-112
+1½-195
-1½+180

1
2
-0.65243-0.64712-0.39552
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
53.1%
46.9%
-188
+172
-180
+176
-1½-119
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
6
7
-1.02085-1.02040-0.75790
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
45.4%
54.6%
+139
-150
+136
-145
+1½-154
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
8
4
-0.88953-0.87412-0.79043
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
35.6%
64.4%
+129
-140
+131
-134
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-152
-1½+145
7
8
-0.55881-0.56301-0.44004
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
50.0%
50.0%
-147
+135
-135
+128
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-128
10
2
-0.53941-0.56729-0.69347
Los Angeles Angels
Washington Nationals
49.3%
50.7%
+138
-150
+144
-152
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+130
6
4
-0.88707-0.90491-0.70690
New York Mets
Seattle Mariners
50.6%
49.4%
+116
-126
+117
-120
+1½-194
-1½+169
+1½-185
-1½+175
0
4
-0.60453-0.61240-0.70621
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
28.2%
71.8%
-101
-109
+103
-108

+1½-210
-1½+187
1
4
-0.67472-0.66719-0.33110
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
54.9%
45.1%
-188
+172
-184
+177
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+115
11
8
-0.44674-0.44290-0.59898
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.8%
43.2%
+106
-116
+106
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-196
-1½+175
1
11
-0.64392-0.65583-0.83928
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
38.7%
61.3%
-210
+190
-206
+197
-1½-135
+1½+119
-1½-134
+1½+120
3
1
-0.41146-0.40557-0.94972
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
35.9%
64.1%
-128
+118
-126
+123
-1½+126
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
7
5
-0.59724-0.59019-1.02312
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
50.4%
49.6%
+103
-113
+107
-116
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
8
-0.65676-0.64162-0.70055
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks62-4 (0.333)0-0.78198 
Sportsbooks62-4 (0.333)0-0.78402 
DRatings62-4 (0.333)0-0.78056
0.00142
0.00347

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.