MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Andre Pallante
David Peterson
48.8%
51.2%
+113
-125
+115
-120

+1½-165
-1½+146
4.81
4.93
9.74

o10½-105
u10½-115
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mitch Keller
Foster Griffin
38.7%
61.3%
+123
-136
+125
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+155
4.30
5.49
9.79
o9½-108
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Mike Paredes
Gerrit Cole
34.7%
65.3%
+155
-172
+161
-170
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+110
3.99
5.58
9.57
o10+100
u9½-102
o9½-115
u9½-105
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
54.2%
45.8%
+122
-135
+122
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.82
4.39
9.21
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Trevor Rogers
Brady Singer
36.4%
63.6%
-119
+108
-117
+110
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-149
4.28
5.70
9.98
o10½+100
u10½-120
o9½-115
u9½-105
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Christian Scott
Grant Holmes
44.1%
55.9%
+104
-115
+110
-116
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.12
4.74
8.86
o9½+105
u9½-120
o9½+105
u9½-120
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Ryan Feltner
55.8%
44.2%
-150
+136
-151
+131
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-119
5.00
4.38
9.38
o11-110
u11-110
o11-105
u11-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Nick Martinez
Spencer Arrighetti
45.4%
54.6%
-103
-107
+100
-105
+1½-220
-1½+186
+1½-220
-1½+192
3.89
4.37
8.26
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Jake Bennett
Reid Detmers
50.6%
49.4%
+101
-111
+100
-105
+1½-225
-1½+189
+1½-220
-1½+194
5.25
5.19
10.44
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Tyler Phillips
Jack Perkins
39.7%
60.3%
+111
-122
+111
-120
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+160
4.03
5.11
9.14
o10½-115
u10½-105
o10½-105
u10½+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Kyle Harrison
Jose Cabrera
59.8%
40.2%
-154
+140
-155
+145
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
4.75
3.72
8.47
o8½-120
u8½+102
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mike King
Shohei Ohtani
38.8%
61.2%
+210
-230
+205
-220
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
3.89
5.07
8.96
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Dylan Cease
Luis Castillo
52.6%
47.4%
-128
+116
-115
+114
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-164
4.85
4.59
9.44
o7-115
u7+100
o7-120
u7+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 2, 2026
Games for Jul 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
48.2%
51.8%
-156
+143
-155
+146
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-103
5
6
-0.90857-0.91442-0.65815
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
38.7%
61.3%
-145
+133
-140
+135
-1½+115
+1½-131
-1½+115
+1½-128
7
6
-0.54531-0.54782-0.94972
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
50.4%
49.6%
+102
-112
+106
-108
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+173
8
5
-0.72619-0.72737-0.68579
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
45.9%
54.1%
-114
+104
-108
+106
+1½-217
-1½+187
+1½-220
-1½+200
3
6
-0.73560-0.72737-0.61395
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
41.5%
58.5%
+140
-153
+143
-148
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-155
-1½+141
3
8
-0.52415-0.52449-0.53611
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
48.7%
51.3%
+115
-125
+120
-125
+1½-174
-1½+154
+1½-170
-1½+160
8
4
-0.78592-0.79851-0.71865
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
55.7%
44.3%
-130
+120
-125
+125
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+127
+1½-140
6
2
-0.59012-0.58778-0.58530
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
45.7%
54.3%
+133
-145
+134
-138
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
1
3
-0.54531-0.55217-0.61151
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
32.7%
67.3%
-129
+119
-125
+118
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+133
+1½-145
4
1
-0.59365-0.60195-1.11880
Los Angeles Angels
Washington Nationals
49.3%
50.7%
-111
+101
-115
+107
-1½+140
+1½-160
+1½-220
-1½+195
2
3
-0.72144-0.74537-0.67958
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
45.9%
54.1%
+152
-166
+152
-163
+1½-144
-1½+124
+1½-145
-1½+130
2
4
-0.49218-0.49487-0.61395
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
43.0%
57.0%
+174
-190
+181
-190
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+120
3
4
-0.44279-0.43383-0.56215
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.1%
41.9%
+115
-125
+115
-119
+1½-178
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+168
6
4
-0.78592-0.77392-0.54354
Tampa Bay Rays
St. Louis Cardinals
57.0%
43.0%
+113
-119
+110
-118
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
6
4
-0.76891-0.75927-0.56231
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
30.1%
69.9%
+102
-112
+101
-103

-1½+155
+1½-165
6
7
-0.66116-0.68336-0.35776
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
41.1%
58.9%
+201
-224
+210
-220
+1½+103
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-115
9
4
-1.12525-1.14144-0.88899
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks94-5 (0.444)0-0.69155 
Sportsbooks94-5 (0.444)0-0.69308 
DRatings95-4 (0.556)0-0.72796
-0.03641
-0.03488

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.