MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Nolan McLean
Martin Perez
44.1%
55.9%
+109
-118
+111
-120
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.12
4.74
8.86
o9-110
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Bubba Chandler
Cade Cavalli
40.0%
60.0%
+109
-120
+120
-128

+1½-165
-1½+145
4.31
5.36
9.67
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Kyle Bradish
Nick Lodolo
36.4%
63.6%
-105
-105
-103
-105
-1½+149
+1½-170

4.17
5.59
9.76
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Joe Ryan
Ryan Weathers
39.6%
60.4%
+118
-130
+119
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+155
4.64
5.73
10.37
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Erick Fedde
Tanner Bibee
54.1%
45.9%
+134
-148
+140
-150
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+135
4.74
4.31
9.05
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Matthew Liberatore
Javier Assad
48.8%
51.2%
+131
-145
+135
-145

+1½-160
-1½+140
4.20
4.32
8.52

o8-110
u8-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Aaron Nola
Luinder Avila
53.1%
46.9%
-135
+122
-130
+122
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
4.62
4.29
8.91
o9½-110
u9½+100
o9½-110
u9½-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Casey Mize
Kumar Rocker
46.8%
53.2%
-111
+101
-105
+101
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-175
4.89
5.22
10.11
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Peter Lambert
45.4%
54.6%




3.89
4.37
8.26


Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Brandon Sproat
Eduardo Rodriguez
59.8%
40.2%
-120
+109
-115
+107
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
4.75
3.72
8.47
o9-110
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Tyler Mahle
Tanner Gordon
55.8%
44.2%
-120
+109
-120
+110
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
5.04
4.43
9.47
o13-105
u13-110
o13-110
u13-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Eury Perez
Gage Jump
39.7%
60.3%
+102
-112
+111
-115
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.03
5.11
9.14
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Trey Yesavage
Emerson Hancock
54.2%
45.8%
+120
-132
+124
-130
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
5.04
4.60
9.64
o7½-103
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
JP Sears
Emmet Sheehan
41.5%
58.5%
+186
-207
+190
-210
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-105
3.87
4.77
8.64
o9½-110
u9½+100
o9½-115
u9½+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Ranger Suarez
Ryan Johnson
50.6%
49.4%
-150
+136
-145
+137
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
5.25
5.19
10.44
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Games for Jul 4, 2026
Games for Jul 6, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
55.8%
44.2%
-121
+110
-122
+114
-1½+115
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-135
9.47
o12½-105
u12½-112
o12-115
u12+100
8th
BOT
6
3
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
50.6%
49.4%
-170
+154
-160
+155
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
10.57
o8½-107
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
6th
TOP
7
1
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
58.4%
41.6%
-163
+147
-155
+145
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½+110
+1½-110
8.27
o9-125
u9½-117
o9-115
u9½-115
6th
BOT
2
3
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
40.3%
59.7%
-133
+121
-125
+125
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+118
+1½-130
8.51
o11-118
u11½-115
o11-105
u11+100
7th
TOP
4
0
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
41.5%
58.5%
+236
-265
+238
-250
+1½+114
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-115
8.61
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½+100
4th
BOT
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.7%
58.3%
+100
-110
+108
-111
+1½-208
-1½+178
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
3
-0.67015-0.64913-0.53960
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
49.1%
50.9%
+140
-153
+143
-153
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
1
-0.89664-0.90402-0.71225
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
50.1%
49.9%
-149
+137
-145
+136
-1½+110
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-128
0
4
-0.88303-0.87412-0.69425
Philadelphia Phillies
Minnesota Twins
49.7%
50.3%
-109
-101
-110
+103
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
7
-0.71192-0.72433-0.68748
Boston Red Sox
Colorado Rockies
55.2%
44.8%
-150
+138
-156
+148
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
8
9
-0.88707-0.92078-0.80388
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
43.5%
56.5%
+134
-146
+136
-146
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
4
10
-0.54235-0.53880-0.57128
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
59.2%
40.8%
+159
-174
+159
-172
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+118
3
4
-0.47499-0.47660-0.89654
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
55.0%
45.0%
-111
+101
-114
+108
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+139
+1½-150
1
3
-0.72144-0.74575-0.79906
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
54.1%
45.9%
+128
-139
+127
-136
+1½-164
-1½+144
+1½-165
-1½+148
4
1
-0.84416-0.83644-0.61354
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
41.8%
58.2%
-135
+124
-134
+129
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-150
8
2
-0.57499-0.56676-0.87345
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.2%
43.8%
+108
-118
+110
-116
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+181
1
2
-0.63563-0.63482-0.82533
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
51.3%
48.7%
-142
+130
-140
+133
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+112
+1½-130
6
4
-0.55443-0.55144-0.66804
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
46.5%
53.5%
+149
-163
+149
-158
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+117
1
9
-0.49956-0.50428-0.62624
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.0%
60.0%
+101
-111
+100
-108
+1½-210
-1½+182
+1½-185
-1½+175
6
9
-0.66563-0.67446-0.51083
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
56.0%
44.0%
+102
-112
+105
-112
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+186
4
6
-0.66116-0.65406-0.82080
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
43.1%
56.9%
+110
-120
+113
-122
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
8
5
-0.76336-0.77499-0.84093
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.64038 
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.63914 
DRatings95-4 (0.556)0-0.76141
-0.12104
-0.12227

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.