MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Nolan McLean
Martin Perez
44.1%
55.9%
+107
-118
+110
-112
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
4.12
4.74
8.86
o9-105
u9-110
o9-110
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Bubba Chandler
Cade Cavalli
40.0%
60.0%
+111
-122
+120
-128
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
4.31
5.36
9.67
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-110
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Kyle Bradish
Nick Lodolo
36.4%
63.6%
-105
-105
-104
-105
-1½+149
+1½-170

4.17
5.59
9.76
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Joe Ryan
Ryan Weathers
39.6%
60.4%
+118
-130
+119
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.64
5.73
10.37
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Erick Fedde
Tanner Bibee
54.1%
45.9%
+131
-145
+140
-148
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+135
4.75
4.33
9.08
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Matthew Liberatore
Javier Assad
48.8%
51.2%
+134
-148
+135
-145

+1½-160
-1½+140
4.22
4.35
8.57

o8-110
u8-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Aaron Nola
Luinder Avila
53.1%
46.9%
-135
+122
-130
+122
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
4.72
4.40
9.12
o10+100
u9½-104
o9½-110
u9½-105
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Casey Mize
Kumar Rocker
46.8%
53.2%
-113
+103
-108
+105
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-175
4.87
5.21
10.08
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Peter Lambert
45.4%
54.6%




3.89
4.37
8.26


Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Brandon Sproat
Eduardo Rodriguez
59.8%
40.2%
-120
+109
-115
+109
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
4.75
3.72
8.47
o9-115
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Tyler Mahle
Tanner Gordon
55.8%
44.2%
-121
+110
-117
+110
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
5.04
4.43
9.47
o13-110
u13-110
o13-110
u13-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Eury Perez
Gage Jump
39.7%
60.3%
+105
-116
+110
-115
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.03
5.11
9.14
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Trey Yesavage
Emerson Hancock
54.2%
45.8%
+116
-128
+122
-130
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
5.04
4.60
9.64
o7½-103
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
JP Sears
Emmet Sheehan
41.5%
58.5%
+186
-207
+190
-210
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
3.87
4.77
8.64
o9½-110
u9½+100
o9½-115
u9½+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Ranger Suarez
Ryan Johnson
50.6%
49.4%
-152
+138
-145
+137
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
5.25
5.19
10.44
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Games for Jul 4, 2026
Games for Jul 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.9%
46.1%
-118
+108
-116
+108
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-144
6
0
-0.63563-0.63934-0.61787
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
+100
-110
+100
-107
+1½-194
-1½+175

2
5
-0.67015-0.67666-0.70682
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
55.8%
44.2%
+116
-126
+127
-126
+1½-192
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
4
2
-0.79039-0.81783-0.58327
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
54.5%
45.5%
-158
+145
-154
+151
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½+100
3
4
-0.91644-0.92498-0.78643
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
38.7%
61.3%
-117
+107
-118
+112
-1½+135
+1½-152
-1½+140
+1½-150
9
5
-0.63974-0.62672-0.94956
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.0%
60.0%
+119
-129
+118
-123
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+155
6
7
-0.59365-0.60523-0.51083
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
44.3%
55.7%
-128
+118
-128
+123
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+127
+1½-135
3
0
-0.59724-0.58709-0.81308
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
48.9%
51.1%
+108
-118
+110
-118
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+176
8
4
-0.75417-0.75927-0.71523
San Diego Padres
Cleveland Indians
52.1%
47.9%
+103
-113
+100
-110
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-210
-1½+185
7
0
-0.73091-0.71668-0.65229
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
54.2%
45.8%
+202
-225
+210
-220
+1½+102
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-115
1
6
-0.39090-0.38472-0.78150
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
45.1%
54.9%
-105
-104
-103
-101
-1½+163
+1½-170
-1½+165
+1½-170
8
4
-0.69081-0.68830-0.79565
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-110
+100
-114
+105

+1½-220
-1½+205
4
5
-0.71668-0.73814-0.70682
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.5%
42.5%
-152
+139
-155
+155
-1½+108
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
1
4
-0.89265-0.93609-0.85665
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
51.3%
48.7%
-159
+146
-157
+152
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
1
0
-0.50811-0.50053-0.66756
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
43.1%
56.9%
+124
-135
+133
-139
+1½-164
-1½+144
+1½-155
-1½+143
2
8
-0.57499-0.55271-0.56442
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
37.2%
62.8%
+114
-124
+117
-118
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-186
-1½+175
7
3
-0.78145-0.77683-0.98865
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.64307 
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.63988 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.74374
-0.10066
-0.10385

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.