MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Cristopher Sanchez
Noah Cameron
53.1%
46.9%
-194
+175
-175
+161
-1½-110
+1½+103
-1½-110
+1½-105
4.76
4.43
9.19
o8½+102
u8½-122
o8-115
u8-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Griffin Jax
47.1%
52.9%
-101
-109
+101
-107
+1½-220
-1½+186

4.35
4.66
9.01
o7½+105
u7½-118
o7½-105
u7½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mike Burrows
Miles Mikolas
56.3%
43.7%
+113
-125
+111
-118
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+143
4.87
4.22
9.09
o10-105
u10-110
o10-110
u9½+110
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Reynaldo Lopez
40.0%
60.0%
+115
-127
+115
-120
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.18
5.23
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+103
o8½-120
u8½+105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-116
+105
-109
+103
-1½+147
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.42
4.12
8.54
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
-102
-108
+100
-110

+1½-200
-1½+175
3.27
4.96
8.23
o9+110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-108
-102
-108
+100
-1½+155
+1½-172
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.39
4.76
9.15
o8+105
u7½+100
o8+110
u8-120
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+182
-202
+180
-197
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.26
5.98
10.24
o10½-103
u10½-105
o10½-105
u10+100
Games for Jul 5, 2026
Games for Jul 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Milwaukee Brewers
38.8%
61.2%
+155
-169
+158
-167
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+120
3
6
-0.48503-0.48224-0.49106
Miami Marlins
Kansas City Royals
48.2%
51.8%
+220
-248
+221
-245
+1½+112
-1½-125
+1½+117
-1½-125
1
4
-0.36361-0.36373-0.65776
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago White Sox
52.6%
47.4%
-110
+100
-108
+100
-1½+142
+1½-162
-1½+141
+1½-160
3
0
-0.67015-0.67446-0.64205
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
51.8%
48.2%
-125
+115
-120
+117
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
4
-0.78592-0.78100-0.73023
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
47.0%
53.0%
+148
-162
+151
-148
+1½-142
-1½+125

6
7
-0.50206-0.51139-0.63418
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
36.4%
63.6%
+124
-135
+125
-131
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+160
5
11
-0.57499-0.57869-0.45190
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
39.2%
60.8%
+101
-111
+100
-105
+1½-215
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+190
3
4
-0.66563-0.68116-0.49791
Philadelphia Phillies
Detroit Tigers
61.1%
38.9%
-174
+159
-174
+162
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-112
+1½-105
8
1
-0.47499-0.47064-0.49266
Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles
53.7%
46.3%
-101
-109
+101
-104
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+185
3
2
-0.71192-0.70542-0.62228
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
51.1%
48.9%
-102
-108
+100
-102
+1½-213
-1½+183
+1½-200
-1½+180
5
2
-0.70719-0.69808-0.67080
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
49.1%
50.9%
+124
-135
+126
-125
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+175
6
2
-0.82716-0.81340-0.71133
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
41.6%
58.4%
-173
+158
-170
+160
-1½-109
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-109
3
0
-0.47726-0.47678-0.87695
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
48.1%
51.9%
-128
+118
-126
+122
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
1
-0.59724-0.59220-0.73230
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
49.5%
50.5%
+146
-159
+146
-155
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-153
-1½+135
0
4
-0.50811-0.51208-0.68401
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
52.1%
47.9%
+113
-123
+110
-119
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+181
3
5
-0.61582-0.62933-0.73560
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
31.6%
68.4%
-104
-106
-103
+102
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-207
-1½+185
1
8
-0.68852-0.70552-0.37937
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks156-8 (0.433)1-0.72931 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.72676 
DRatings156-9 (0.400)0-0.74085
-0.01155
-0.01409

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.