MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jovani Moran
Framber Valdez
56.9%
43.1%
+159
-176
+170
-180
+1½-123
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
5.16
4.44
9.60
o8-120
u8½-115
o8-115
u8+100
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Kevin Gausman
Drew Rasmussen
46.5%
53.5%
+116
-128
+112
-121
+1½-198
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.29
4.66
8.95
o7½+110
u7+100
o7½+105
u7½-120
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Chris Bassitt
Sandy Alcantara
38.6%
61.4%
+115
-127
+110
-120
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-190
-1½+165
4.05
5.24
9.29
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Luis Severino
Cristopher Sanchez
49.2%
50.8%
+164
-182
+161
-176
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+110
5.95
6.03
11.98
o9+100
u8½+103
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Taj Bradley
Cade Cavalli
47.8%
52.2%
-102
-108
+106
-108
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-180
-1½+170
5.32
5.54
10.86
o9-105
u9-107
o9-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Jacob deGrom
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
42.0%
58.0%
+102
-122
-105
-115
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+150
+1½-178
4.83
5.67
10.50
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8-110
u8-110
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Andrew Abbott
Jameson Taillon
51.6%
48.4%
+149
-164
+150
-157
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-165
-1½+140
4.54
4.37
8.91
o8-120
u8+100
o8-120
u8+100
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Gavin Williams
Stephen Kolek
49.3%
50.7%
-117
+106
-115
+110
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+140
+1½-150
4.40
4.47
8.87
o7½-110
u8-118
o8+105
u8-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%
-102
-108
+100
-107
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-205
-1½+180
4.37
4.05
8.42
o7½-120
u8-115
o8-110
u8-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Shohei Ohtani
Peter Lambert
50.6%
49.4%
-218
+195
-200
+190
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-120
+1½+115
4.34
4.28
8.62
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8-110
u8½-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-151
+138
-155
+145
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.55
10.75
o9½-120
u10-107
o10-110
u10-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Erick Fedde
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
51.6%
48.4%
-105
-115
-105
-115
-1½+165
+1½-195
-1½+158
+1½-190
5.13
4.97
10.10
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Bubba Chandler
Eduardo Rodriguez
45.6%
54.4%
+113
-125
+110
-118
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.15
4.61
8.76
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Bryce Elder
George Kirby
52.7%
47.3%
+120
-132
+130
-140
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-160
-1½+143
4.81
4.52
9.33
o8-105
u8-115
o7½-120
u8-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Walker Buehler
Logan Webb
48.3%
51.7%
+114
-126
+116
-128
+1½-184
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.16
4.34
8.50
o7½+105
u7½-118
o7½+100
u7½-115
Games for May 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
36.3%
63.7%
+149
-164
+141
-145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
5
-0.49865-0.53128-0.45168
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Indians
55.6%
44.4%
+131
-145
+135
-140
+1½-175
-1½+156
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
3
-0.54896-0.54782-0.81209
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+107
-118
+111
-116
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+180
7
4
-0.75162-0.75760-0.83526
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
41.3%
58.7%
+148
-164
+160
-165
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+135
3
1
-0.93239-0.96273-0.88353
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
43.9%
56.1%
+208
-233
+205
-220
+1½+105
-1½-122
+1½+105
-1½-115
5
0
-1.14901-1.13038-0.82237
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
54.2%
45.8%
-105
-105
+100
-107
+1½-208
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
5
6
-0.69315-0.67666-0.78178
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
37.2%
62.8%
+104
-115
+105
-110
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+180
2
1
-0.73771-0.72940-0.98862
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
51.3%
48.7%
-131
+119
-133
+125
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-140
5
0
-0.59066-0.57583-0.66756
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
37.7%
62.3%
+201
-225
+212
-240
+1½-105
-1½-114
+1½-105
-1½-110
3
4
-0.39196-0.37436-0.47382
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
47.2%
52.8%
+148
-163
+150
-165
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
5
-0.50114-0.49617-0.63779
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
+153
-169
+160
-170
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
3
7
-0.48805-0.47678-0.66978
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
32.4%
67.6%
+201
-225
+205
-230
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
6
-0.39196-0.38554-0.39190
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
41.2%
58.8%
+210
-235
+210
-235
+1½+100
-1½-117
+1½+100
-1½-115
3
6
-0.37834-0.37834-0.53137
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
38.4%
61.6%
-118
+109
-115
+108
-1½+126
+1½-145

3
4
-0.75673-0.74790-0.48388
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
59.7%
40.3%
+134
-148
+135
-142
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
2
-0.87397-0.86664-0.51626
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
34.9%
65.1%
+114
-126
+116
-120
+1½-185
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+170
4
7
-0.60877-0.61452-0.42895
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.61980 
Sportsbooks127-5 (0.583)0-0.63101 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.64696
-0.02716
-0.01595

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.