Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (54-69) Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) | Nate Pearson Aaron Nola | 36.0% 64.0% | +161 -176 +155 -170 | +1½-132 -1½+112 +1½-140 -1½+123 | 3.47 4.95 | 8.42 | o8-110 u8-110 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Tanner Houck Chris Bassitt | 46.7% 53.3% | +103 -113 +108 -114 | +1½-208 -1½+178 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 4.86 5.21 | 10.07 | o8-113 u8-107 o7½-120 u7½+100 | |||
| Seattle Mariners (65-56) Houston Astros (70-50) | Bryce Miller Hunter Brown | 37.9% 62.1% | +130 -142 +135 -142 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+145 | 3.84 5.11 | 8.95 | o8+104 u8-124 o7½-120 u7½+100 | |||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Hayden Birdsong Eduardo Rodriguez | 60.5% 39.5% | +151 -165 +152 -164 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-136 -1½+125 | 4.60 3.50 | 8.10 | o9-113 u9-107 o9-110 u9-105 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers San Francisco Giants | 37.1% 62.9% | +206 -230 +215 -215 | +1½-106 -1½-110 +1½+100 -1½+103 | 1 3 | -0.38450-0.38193 | -0.46412 | |
| Oakland Athletics Toronto Blue Jays | 45.4% 54.6% | +114 -124 +117 -120 | +1½-179 -1½+159 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 1 0 | -0.78145-0.78100 | -0.79043 | |
| Texas Rangers New York Yankees | 33.9% 66.1% | +140 -153 +142 -146 | +1½-145 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+134 | 0 8 | -0.52415-0.52841 | -0.41446 | |
| Detroit Tigers San Francisco Giants | 35.6% 64.4% | +168 -184 +175 -180 | +1½-130 -1½+120 +1½-130 -1½+114 | 2 3 | -0.45484-0.44830 | -0.43971 | |
| New York Mets Seattle Mariners | 50.0% 50.0% | +109 -119 +115 -120 | +1½-193 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+178 | 0 6 | -0.63156-0.61667 | -0.69275 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers | 24.7% 75.3% | +201 -224 +214 -215 | +1½-110 -1½-105 +1½-105 -1½-110 | 5 9 | -0.39241-0.38295 | -0.28337 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Arizona Diamondbacks | 56.4% 43.6% | -130 +120 -128 +125 | -1½+123 +1½-140 -1½+131 +1½-140 | 2 3 | -0.80802-0.81676 | -0.82988 | |
| Atlanta Braves Colorado Rockies | 48.2% 51.8% | -156 +143 -155 +146 | -1½-108 +1½-110 -1½-105 +1½-103 | 5 6 | -0.90857-0.91442 | -0.65815 | |
| Chicago Cubs Chicago White Sox | 38.7% 61.3% | -145 +133 -140 +135 | -1½+115 +1½-131 -1½+115 +1½-128 | 7 6 | -0.54531-0.54782 | -0.94972 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Kansas City Royals | 50.4% 49.6% | +102 -112 +106 -108 | +1½-197 -1½+172 +1½-185 -1½+173 | 8 5 | -0.72619-0.72737 | -0.68579 | |
| Cleveland Indians Minnesota Twins | 45.9% 54.1% | -114 +104 -108 +106 | +1½-217 -1½+187 +1½-220 -1½+200 | 3 6 | -0.73560-0.72737 | -0.61395 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Milwaukee Brewers | 41.5% 58.5% | +140 -153 +143 -148 | +1½-158 -1½+138 +1½-155 -1½+141 | 3 8 | -0.52415-0.52449 | -0.53611 | |
| Houston Astros Boston Red Sox | 48.7% 51.3% | +115 -125 +120 -125 | +1½-174 -1½+154 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 8 4 | -0.78592-0.79851 | -0.71865 | |
| San Diego Padres Miami Marlins | 55.7% 44.3% | -130 +120 -125 +125 | -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+127 +1½-140 | 6 2 | -0.59012-0.58778 | -0.58530 | |
| Oakland Athletics Toronto Blue Jays | 45.7% 54.3% | +133 -145 +134 -138 | +1½-153 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+140 | 1 3 | -0.54531-0.55217 | -0.61151 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays | 32.7% 67.3% | -129 +119 -125 +118 | -1½+130 +1½-147 -1½+133 +1½-145 | 4 1 | -0.59365-0.60195 | -1.11880 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 9-7 (0.562) | 0 | -0.64571 | |
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 8-8 (0.500) | 0 | -0.64310 | |
| DRatings | 16 | 12-4 (0.750) | 0 | -0.64183 | 0.00388 0.00126 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.