MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 17, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Aaron Nola
Mitchell Parker
56.1%
43.9%
-165
+149
-165
+155
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
4.68
4.03
8.71
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Janson Junk
Garrett Crochet
39.6%
60.4%
+208
-230
+212
-240
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
4.59
5.67
10.26
o8-115
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Nathan Eovaldi
Jose Berrios
34.8%
65.2%
-109
-101
-106
+100
-1½+156
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
4.54
6.13
10.67
o8-115
u8+100
o8-115
u8-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Jose Quintana
Andrew Abbott
50.3%
49.7%
-105
-105
-109
+101

-1½+145
+1½-160
4.57
4.54
9.11
o9-120
u9½-120
o9-120
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Erick Fedde
Logan Allen
52.8%
47.2%
+119
-130
+115
-120
+1½-174
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.07
3.78
7.85
o9-110
u9+100
o9-110
u9+100
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Cristian Javier
29.9%
70.1%
+116
-128
+120
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+165
3.58
5.63
9.21
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½+100
u8½-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Davis Martin
Ryan Bergert
56.7%
43.3%
+145
-160
+150
-158
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+120
5.52
4.82
10.34
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chris Paddack
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
41.5%
58.5%




4.22
5.10
9.32


New York Yankees (69-52)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Will Warren
Miles Mikolas
54.0%
46.0%
-140
+127
-134
+125
-1½+120
+1½-135

4.82
4.39
9.21
o9-125
u9½-120
o9-120
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Carmen Mlodzinski
Javier Assad
40.9%
59.1%
+164
-182
+175
-195
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
3.88
4.83
8.71
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Antonio Senzatela
40.9%
59.1%

-126
+106

-1½+112
+1½-132
4.27
5.23
9.50

o12½-120
u12½+100
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Jose Soriano
Jeffrey Springs
43.1%
56.9%
-108
-102
-102
+101
-1½+149
+1½-170

4.55
5.28
9.83
o10-105
u10-115
o10-105
u10-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Ryan Pepiot
Logan Webb
48.5%
51.5%
+140
-155
+145
-156
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
4.21
4.38
8.59
o7½-110
u7½-107
o7½-115
u7½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Yu Darvish
Tyler Glasnow
44.6%
55.4%
+133
-147
+135
-148
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+135
3.74
4.30
8.04
o8-115
u8½-120
o8-115
u8½-110
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
George Kirby
Clay Holmes
46.8%
53.2%
-121
+110
-113
+110
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
4.49
4.83
9.32
o8-110
u8½-125
o8½+100
u8½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 16, 2025
Games for Aug 18, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
43.1%
56.9%
+106
-117
+110
-120
+1½-182
-1½+160
+1½-174
-1½+160
9.83
o11-105
u11-107
o10½-120
u11-110
8th
BOT
1
6

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
62.2%
37.8%
-135
+122
-132
+122
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
5
1
-0.57893-0.58316-0.47406
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
53.8%
46.2%
-105
-102
-113
+105
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
6
4
-0.68605-0.65204-0.61925
San Francisco Giants
Chicago White Sox
47.4%
52.6%
-150
+136
-148
+137
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+107
+1½-125
2
5
-0.88211-0.88143-0.64318
Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros
37.0%
63.0%
+114
-126
+120
-128
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+170
0
2
-0.60877-0.59314-0.46124
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
41.9%
58.1%
+211
-236
+219
-245
+1½+105
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-120
4
3
-1.15827-1.18335-0.86941
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
50.8%
49.2%
+120
-132
+120
-130
+1½-172
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+150
2
3
-0.58717-0.59012-0.70926
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
44.8%
55.2%
+190
-212
+195
-208
+1½-104
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
5
12
-0.41044-0.40677-0.59339
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
48.2%
51.8%
-105
-105
-105
-102

-1½+146
+1½-160
5
3
-0.69315-0.68605-0.72977
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
61.9%
38.1%
+103
-113
+105
-114
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
1
5
-0.65676-0.65009-0.96506
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+138
-152
+145
-160
+1½-159
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
1
-0.89016-0.91937-0.80849
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.1%
42.9%
-140
+127
-134
+128
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+116
+1½-130
1
12
-0.84337-0.83536-0.84714
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Indians
47.9%
52.1%
-106
-104
-107
-101
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
0
-0.68852-0.67911-0.73539
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Angels
44.3%
55.7%
+102
-112
+106
-110
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-185
-1½+180
2
8
-0.66116-0.65583-0.58576
Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros
37.8%
62.2%
+102
-112
+100
-105
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-205
-1½+180
12
3
-0.72619-0.70528-0.97215
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+149
-165
+150
-165
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+132
1
6
-0.49774-0.49617-0.58974
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
52.2%
47.8%
-121
+110
-120
+113
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
2
3
-0.76535-0.77096-0.73900
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.63940 
Sportsbooks1410-3 (0.750)1-0.63128 
DRatings1410-4 (0.714)0-0.61819
0.02121
0.01309

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.