MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 9, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Bryce Elder
Mitch Keller
61.0%
39.0%
-116
+105
-112
+103
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
5.13
3.97
9.10
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Drew Rasmussen
47.1%
52.9%

+135
-155

+1½-157
-1½+137
4.35
4.66
9.01

o7½-110
u7½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
New York Mets (60-60)
Michael Wacha
Sean Manaea
41.0%
59.0%
+127
-140
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.45
5.39
9.84
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
David Peterson
Trevor Rogers
52.8%
47.2%
+113
-124
+116
-125
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+160
5.08
4.79
9.87
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Gavin Williams
Bailey Ober
45.9%
54.1%

-124
+120

-1½+125
+1½-145
4.52
4.95
9.47

o8½-115
u8½-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Patrick Sandoval
Anthony Kay
45.7%
54.3%
+100
-110
+105
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.92
5.36
10.28
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jack Perkins
Framber Valdez
56.8%
43.2%
+120
-132
+125
-135
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+155
4.91
4.19
9.10
o9-108
u9-112
o9-105
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Bryce Miller
Janson Junk
48.1%
51.9%

-140
+130

-1½+115
+1½-135
4.55
4.74
9.29

o8-110
u8-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Jesus Luzardo
Brady Singer
46.8%
53.2%
-166
+150
-160
+150
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
4.35
4.68
9.03
o9½-112
u9½-108
o9½-110
u9½-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Logan Henderson
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%
-126
+114
-120
+111
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
4.45
4.14
8.59
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Reid Detmers
Nathan Eovaldi
54.5%
45.5%
+129
-142
+130
-140
+1½-179
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
5.56
5.08
10.64
o7-115
u7-105
o7-110
u7-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Merrill Kelly
Griffin Canning
35.1%
64.9%
+110
-121
+108
-115
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.33
4.88
8.21
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u8½+100
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Ryan Feltner
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
38.1%
61.9%




4.30
5.54
9.84


Games for Jul 8, 2026
Games for Jul 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
36.3%
63.7%
+130
-141
+127
-135
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
8.61
o8½-105
u8½-113
o8-105
u8+100
6th
BOT
1
4
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
33.3%
66.7%
+236
-245
+229
-240
+1½+123
-1½-120
+1½+125
-1½-120
10.24
o10½+100
u10-115
o10-105
u10-105
8th
TOP
3
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
47.5%
52.5%
+147
-167
+150
-155
+1½-133
-1½+113
+1½-120
-1½+100
7
6
-0.93410-0.92410-0.74370
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.2%
38.8%
-101
-119
+100
-115
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
3
2
-0.73303-0.72743-0.49022
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
34.2%
65.8%
+117
-137
+125
-135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
2
3
-0.58623-0.57304-0.41861
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
46.8%
53.2%
+100
-120
+100
-115
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
5
2
-0.73760-0.72743-0.75856
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
49.0%
51.0%
+205
-245
+205
-240
+1½+120
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-140
2
5
-0.37959-0.38151-0.67319
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
51.0%
49.0%
-120
+100
-110
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-205
-1½+190
6
5
-0.65059-0.69315-0.67344
Minnesota Twins
Washington Nationals
47.8%
52.2%
+133
-153
+140
-160
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-140
-1½+125
8
9
-0.53631-0.51706-0.64925
Houston Astros
St. Louis Cardinals
55.1%
44.9%
-125
+105
-115
+105
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-160
9
1
-0.63023-0.64814-0.59515
New York Mets
Detroit Tigers
53.8%
46.2%
+110
-130
+120
-135
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-165
-1½+150
10
5
-0.78250-0.81706-0.61938
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
44.6%
55.4%
+169
-185
+172
-180
+1½-106
-1½-110
+1½-120
-1½+105
15
11
-1.01019-1.01107-0.80690
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
52.2%
47.8%
-168
+154
-174
+170
-1½-107
+1½+105
-1½-104
+1½+100
5
2
-0.48737-0.45947-0.64955
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
42.4%
57.6%
-103
-107
-105
+105


5
0
-0.70249-0.66904-0.85814
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.3%
50.7%
+107
-115
+105
-113
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
11
7
-0.74537-0.73601-0.70818
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.4%
52.6%
-115
+105
-110
+105

+1½-210
-1½+204
3
1
-0.64814-0.65817-0.74621
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
49.4%
50.6%
+135
-143
+136
-143
+1½-154
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+136
9
1
-0.86833-0.87079-0.70498
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
51.3%
48.7%
+140
-148
+140
-150
+1½-145
-1½+129
+1½-140
-1½+130
5
6
-0.52957-0.52736-0.71927
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks138-5 (0.615)0-0.67132 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.67378 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.68309
-0.01177
-0.00930

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.