MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 20, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chris Bassitt
Johan Oviedo
63.5%
36.5%
-160
+134
-140
+135
-1½+110
+1½-135
-1½+135
+1½-128
5.62
4.21
9.83
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½+105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Luis Castillo
Jesus Luzardo
44.8%
55.2%
+122
-135
+126
-134
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.36
4.90
9.26
o8½-120
u8½+102
o8½-110
u8½+100
Houston Astros (70-50)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Lance McCullers
Charlie Morton
59.6%
40.4%
-133
+121
-122
+115
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
4.92
3.90
8.82
o8-120
u8½-110
o8-115
u8½-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Parker Messick
Brandon Pfaadt
52.6%
47.4%
+105
-116
+116
-125
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.40
4.13
8.53
o9-110
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Andre Pallante
Sandy Alcantara
46.4%
53.6%
+111
-122
+114
-121
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.96
4.35
8.31
o8-118
u8½-115
o8-120
u8½-110
New York Mets (60-60)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Kodai Senga
Brad Lord
50.2%
49.8%
-181
+167
-177
+165
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
4.76
4.74
9.50
o9-105
u8½+104
o9-105
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Martin Perez
Hurston Waldrep
48.1%
51.9%
+167
-185
+160
-174
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
4.54
4.74
9.28
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Drew Rasmussen
47.1%
52.9%
+106
-117
+105
-110
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.35
4.66
9.01
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Noah Cameron
44.1%
55.9%
-120
+100
-120
+100
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+150
+1½-178
4.82
5.44
10.26
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-115
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
J.T. Ginn
Bailey Ober
52.1%
47.9%
+109
-120
+111
-117
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
5.13
4.91
10.04
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Jacob Misiorowski
Colin Rea
55.0%
45.0%
-105
-103
-107
+102
-1½+165
+1½-195
-1½+165
+1½-190
4.41
3.88
8.29
o7-110
u7-110
o7-110
u7-105
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Shohei Ohtani
Tanner Gordon
60.8%
39.2%
-295
+261
-290
+260
-1½-195
+1½+180
-1½-185
+1½+180
5.65
4.52
10.17
o11½-115
u11½-105
o11½-110
u11½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Nick Martinez
Yusei Kikuchi
48.2%
51.8%
+116
-128
+119
-120
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+165
4.67
4.85
9.52
o9-105
u8½+105
o9-105
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Landen Roupp
JP Sears
47.0%
53.0%
+140
-155
+137
-150
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-159
-1½+145
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8-115
u8-105
o8-110
u8-105
Games for Aug 19, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+157
-174
+160
-165
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+115
13
0
-0.96777-0.96273-0.80849
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Indians
47.9%
52.1%
-122
+111
-122
+114
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
0
-0.62187-0.61535-0.73539
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
47.8%
52.2%
+109
-120
+110
-117
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
9
0
-0.76081-0.75717-0.73777
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
44.8%
55.2%
+225
-252
+225
-250
+1½+110
-1½-124
+1½+110
-1½-125
0
3
-0.35753-0.35820-0.59339
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
61.5%
38.5%
-115
+104
-117
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
8
22
-0.73771-0.76975-0.95446
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.4%
41.6%
-132
+120
-131
+125
-1½+124
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
1
9
-0.81171-0.82241-0.87777
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
+104
-114
+106
-113
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
4
-0.65243-0.64972-0.68338
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
46.1%
53.9%
+121
-133
+122
-127
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
10
-0.58372-0.59064-0.61882
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
37.9%
62.1%
+154
-170
+157
-168
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+130
12
5
-0.95524-0.95975-0.96919
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
64.6%
35.4%
-275
+244
-280
+255
-1½-190
+1½+165
-1½-200
+1½+190
3
1
-0.33391-0.32375-0.43731
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
-133
+122
-133
+125
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-134
3
0
-0.58173-0.57583-0.80238
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
41.3%
58.7%
+134
-148
+143
-150
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+158
1
2
-0.54007-0.52227-0.53232
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
57.2%
42.8%
-119
+108
-120
+111
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
4
0
-0.63380-0.62534-0.55813
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
54.5%
45.5%
+122
-135
+130
-135
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
0
-0.82212-0.84211-0.60713
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
56.6%
43.4%
+139
-147
+137
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+152
0
8
-0.53242-0.53253-0.83462
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
39.5%
60.5%
+193
-215
+200
-220
+1½-120
-1½+103
+1½-115
-1½+105
8
5
-1.09856-1.11923-0.92806
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1611-5 (0.688)0-0.61502 
Sportsbooks1611-5 (0.688)0-0.60703 
DRatings168-8 (0.500)0-0.71345
-0.09842
-0.10642

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.